D. E. Bloom, 7 Billion and Counting, Science, vol.333, issue.6042, pp.562-569, 2011.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1209290

V. Lucarini, Towards a definition of climate science, International Journal of Environment and Pollution, vol.18, issue.5, pp.413-422, 2002.
DOI : 10.1504/IJEP.2002.002336

F. Giannotti, D. Pedreschi, A. Pentland, P. Lukowicz, D. Kossmann et al., A planerary nervous system for social mining and collective awareness, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics, vol.214, 2012.
DOI : 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01688-9

URL : http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.3700

M. Paolucci, D. Kossman, R. Conte, P. Lulowicz, P. Argyrakis et al., Towards a living earth simulator, The European Physical Journal Special Topics, vol.42, issue.1, 2012.
DOI : 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01689-8

URL : http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.1903

S. Buckingham-shum, K. Aberer, A. Schmidt, S. Bishop, P. Lukowicz et al., Towards a global participatory platform, The European Physical Journal Special Topics, vol.9, issue.2, 2012.
DOI : 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01690-3

D. Meadows, D. Meadows, J. Randers, W. Behrens, and I. , The Limits to Growth, 1972.

G. Turner, A comparison of The Limits to Growth with 30 years of reality, Global Environmental Change, vol.18, issue.3, pp.397-411, 2008.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.05.001

U. Bardi, The Limits To Growth Revisited, 2011.
DOI : 10.1007/978-1-4419-9416-5

A. Atkinson, Believing Cassandra: How to be an Optimist in a Pessimist's World, 2010.

M. Craglia, M. F. Goodchild, A. Annoni, G. Camara, M. Gould et al., Next-generation digital earth. a position paper from the vespucci initiative for the advancement of geographic information science, International Journal of Spatial Data Infrastructures Research, vol.3, pp.146-167, 2008.

H. Guo, Z. Liu, and L. Lu, Digital Earth: decadal experiences and some thoughts, International Journal of Digital Earth, vol.3, issue.1, pp.31-46, 2010.
DOI : 10.1080/17538940701782551

L. Bouwman, K. T. , and K. Klein-goldewijk, Integrated modelling of global environmental change an overview of image 2.4. mnp report, 2006.

M. Rounsevell, D. Robinson, and D. Murray-rust, From actors to agents in socio-ecological systems models, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, vol.60, issue.suppl_3, pp.259-269, 1586.
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.082081099

G. Gallopn, S. Funtowicz, M. O. Connor, and J. Ravetz, Science for the 21st century: from social contract to the scientific core, International Journal of Social Science, vol.168, pp.219-229, 2001.

E. Ostrom, A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems, Science, vol.325, issue.5939, pp.419-422, 2009.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1172133

G. Gallopn, Human dimensions of global change: linking the global and the local processes, International social science journal, vol.43, issue.4, pp.707-718, 1991.

O. Young, F. Berkhout, G. Gallopin, M. Janssen, E. Ostrom et al., The globalization of socio-ecological systems: An agenda for scientific research, Global Environmental Change, vol.16, issue.3, pp.304-316, 2006.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.03.004

D. C. Parker, S. M. Manson, M. A. Janssen, M. J. Hoffmann, and P. Deadman, Multi-Agent Systems for the Simulation of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: A Review, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, vol.1, issue.2, pp.314-337, 2003.
DOI : 10.1038/35065672

F. Bousquet, O. Barreteau, P. D. Aquino, M. Etienne, S. Boissau et al., Multi-agent systems and role games: an approach for ecosystem co-management, pp.248-285, 2002.

R. Matthews, N. Gilbert, A. Roach, J. Polhill, and N. Gotts, Agent-based land-use models: a review of applications, Landscape Ecology, vol.17, issue.4, p.14471459, 2007.
DOI : 10.1007/s10980-007-9135-1

M. Janssen and E. Ostrom, Empirically Based, Agent-based models, Ecology and Society, vol.11, issue.2, p.37, 2006.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-01861-110237

URL : http://doi.org/10.5751/es-01861-110237

D. Murray-rust, N. Dendoncker, T. P. Dawson, L. Acosta-michlik, E. Karali et al., Conceptualising the analysis of socio-ecological systems through ecosystem services and agent-based modelling, Journal of Land Use Science, vol.4, issue.2-3, pp.83-99, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.03.004

E. Ostrom, Collective Action and the Evolution of Social Norms, Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol.14, issue.3, pp.137-158, 2000.
DOI : 10.1257/jep.14.3.137

X. Chen, F. Lupi, L. An, R. Sheely, A. Via et al., Agent-based modeling of the effects of social norms on enrollment in payments for ecosystem services, Ecological Modelling, vol.229, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.06.007

M. D. Rounsevell, B. Pedroli, K. Erb, M. Gramberger, A. G. Busck et al., Challenges for land system science, Land Use Policy, vol.29, issue.4, 2012.
DOI : 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.01.007

N. Becu, Agent based simulation of a small catchment water management in northern Thailand, Ecological Modelling, vol.170, issue.2-3, pp.319-331, 2003.
DOI : 10.1016/S0304-3800(03)00236-9

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00525138

C. Topping, T. Hye, and C. Olesen, Opening the black box???Development, testing and documentation of a mechanistically rich agent-based model, Ecological Modelling, vol.221, issue.2, pp.245-255, 2010.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.09.014

S. Lauf, D. Haase, P. Hostert, T. Lakes, and B. Kleinschmit, Uncovering land-use dynamics driven by human decision-making ??? A combined model approach using cellular automata and system dynamics, Environmental Modelling & Software, vol.27, issue.28, pp.71-82, 2012.
DOI : 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.09.005

A. Saltelli, M. Ratto, T. Andres, F. Campolongo, J. Cariboni et al., Global sensitivity analysis: the primer, 2008.
DOI : 10.1002/9780470725184

URL : http://eu.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470059974.html

A. Ligmann-zielinska and L. Sun, Applying time-dependent variance-based global sensitivity analysis to represent the dynamics of an agent-based model of land use change, International Journal of Geographical Information Science, vol.9, issue.12, pp.1829-1850, 2010.
DOI : 10.1007/s10980-006-0029-4

M. Ratto, A. Castelletti, and A. Pagano, Emulation techniques for the reduction and sensitivity analysis of complex environmental models, Environmental Modelling & Software, 2011.
DOI : 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.11.003

B. De-vries, Interacting with complex systems: models and games for a sustainable economy, tech. rep., Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, 2010.

S. Kefi, M. Rietkerk, C. L. Alados, Y. Pueyo, A. Papanastasis et al., Spatial vegetation patterns and imminent desertification in Mediterranean arid ecosystems, Nature, vol.357, issue.7159, pp.213-218, 2007.
DOI : 10.1038/nature06111

M. Scheffer, Critical Transitions in Nature and Society, 2009.

M. Kok, M. Ldeke, T. Sterzel, P. Lucas, C. Walter et al., Quantitative analysis of patterns of vulnerability to global environmental change, tech. rep., PBL/PIK/NTNU Background Studies, 2011.

C. Godfray, I. Crute, L. Haddad, D. Lawrence, J. Muir et al., The future of the global food system, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, vol.365, issue.5967, pp.2769-2777, 1554.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1185383

F. Bouwman, B. A. , and B. G. , Human alteration of the global nitrogen and phosphorus soil balances for the period, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, vol.23, 2009.

L. V. Beek, Y. Wada, and M. Bierkens, Global monthly water stress: 1. water balance and water availability, Water Resource Research, vol.47, 2011.

Y. Wada, L. Van-beek, D. Viviroli, H. Drr, R. Weingartner et al., Global monthly water stress: 2. Water demand and severity of water stress, Water Resources Research, vol.35, issue.1, 2011.
DOI : 10.1029/2010WR009792

A. Voinov and F. Bousquet, Modelling with stakeholders. special issue, Environmental Modelling & Software, vol.25, issue.11, 2010.
DOI : 10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.03.007

URL : http://agritrop.cirad.fr/555020/

O. Barreteau, F. Bousquet, and J. Attonaty, Role-playing games for opening the black box of multi-agent systems: method and lessons of its application to senegal river valley irrigated systems, Journal of artificial societies and social simulation, vol.4, 2001.

N. Becu, A. Neef, P. Schreinemachers, and C. Sangkapitux, Participatory computer simulation to support collective decision-making: Potential and limits of stakeholder involvement, Land Use Policy, vol.25, issue.4, pp.498-509, 2008.
DOI : 10.1016/j.landusepol.2007.11.002

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00454328

M. Etienne, Companion modelling. A participatory approach to support sustainable development, QUAE, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01197658

O. Barreteau, P. W. Bots, and K. A. , A framework for clarifying participation in participatory research to prevent rejection of participation for bad reasons, Ecology and Society, vol.15, issue.2, p.2010

V. Grimm, U. Berger, F. Bastiansen, S. Eliassen, V. Ginot et al., A standard protocol for describing individual-based and agent-based models, Ecological Modelling, vol.198, issue.1-2, pp.115-126, 2006.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.04.023

D. Parker, D. Brown, J. Polhill, S. Manson, and P. Deadman, Illustrating a new conceptual design pattern for agent-based models and land use via five case studies: The mr potatohead framework, Agent-based Modellaling in Natural Resource Management, 2008.

P. Edwards, J. Farrington, C. Mellish, L. Philip, A. Chorley et al., e-Social Science and Evidence-Based Policy Assessment: Challenges and Solutions, Social Science Computer Review, vol.27, issue.4, pp.553-568, 2009.
DOI : 10.1177/0894439309332305

URL : http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.472.5650

P. Smits, D. Arctur, R. Atkinson, L. Bargmeyer, B. Boerboom et al., Eye on earth working group 3 technical infrastructure white paper 1: Recommendations for the technical design of a global interoperable information network, tech. rep., Environment Agency Abu Dhabi, 2011.

F. Gargiulo, S. Terns, S. Huet, and G. Deffuant, An Iterative Approach for Generating Statistically Realistic Populations of Households, PLoS ONE, vol.5, issue.1, 2010.
DOI : 10.1371/journal.pone.0008828.t002

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00515462

R. Berger-schmitt and H. Noll, Conceptual framework and structure of a european system of social indicators eureporting. working paper n9., " tech. rep., Centre for Survey Research and Methodology (ZUMA) Social Indicators Department, 2000.

A. Harding, S. Kelly, R. Percival, and M. Keegan, Population ageing and government age pension outlays: Using microsimulation models to inform policy making, tech. rep., Economic and Social Research Institute, 2009.

A. Klevmarken and L. Bjrn, Simulating an Ageing Population. A microsimulation approach applied to Sweden, 2008.

N. Meadea and I. Towhidul, Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation ??? A 25-year review, International Journal of Forecasting, vol.22, issue.3, pp.519-545, 2006.
DOI : 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.01.005

M. J. O-'brien and S. Shennan, Innovation in cultural systems: contributions from evolutionary anthropology, 2009.

Y. Chen, X. Li, W. Su, and Y. Li, Simulating the optimal land-use pattern in the farming-pastoral transitional zone of Northern China, Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, vol.32, issue.5, pp.407-414, 2008.
DOI : 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2008.01.001

R. Burton, Seeing Through the 'Good Farmer's' Eyes: Towards Developing an Understanding of the Social Symbolic Value of 'Productivist' Behaviour, Sociologia Ruralis, vol.12, issue.3, pp.195-205, 2004.
DOI : 10.1016/S0743-0167(99)00018-2

N. Gotts and J. Polhill, When and how to imitate your neighbours: lessons from and for fearlus, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol.12, issue.3, 2009.

S. Manson and T. Evans, Agent-based modeling of deforestation in southern Yucatan, Mexico, and reforestation in the Midwest United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol.104, issue.52, pp.20678-20683, 2007.
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.0705802104

J. S. Lansing and J. N. Kremer, Emergent Properties of Balinese Water Temple Networks: Coadaptation on a Rugged Fitness Landscape, Artificial Life III, pp.201-223, 1994.
DOI : 10.1525/aa.1993.95.1.02a00050

C. Washington-ottombre, B. Pijanowski, D. Campbell, J. Olson, J. Maitima et al., Using a role-playing game to inform the development of land-use models for the study of a complex socio-ecological system, Agricultural Systems, vol.103, issue.3, pp.117-125, 2010.
DOI : 10.1016/j.agsy.2009.10.002

D. Parker, Measuring pattern outcomes in an agent-based model of edge-effect externalities using spatial metrics, Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, vol.101, issue.2-3, pp.223-250, 2004.
DOI : 10.1016/j.agee.2003.09.007

D. Robinson, D. Brown, D. Parker, P. Schreinemachers, M. Janssen et al., Comparison of empirical methods for building agent-based models in land use science, Journal of Land Use Science, vol.1, issue.1, pp.31-55, 2007.
DOI : 10.2307/3147108

P. Ericksen, B. Stewart, J. Dixon, and D. Barling, Value of a Food System Approach, 2010.

W. Friedland, Commodity systems analysis: An approach to the sociology of agriculture, Research in Rural Sociology and Development, pp.221-235, 1984.

W. Friedland, Reprise on commodity systems methodology, International Journal of Sociology and Agriculture, vol.9, issue.1, pp.82-103, 2001.

J. Henderson, P. Dicken, M. Hess, N. Coe, and H. Yeung, Global production networks and the analysis of economic development, Review of International Political Economy, vol.9, issue.3, pp.463-464, 2002.
DOI : 10.1080/09692290210150842

H. Friedmann and P. Mcmichael, AGRICULTURE AND THE STATE SYSTEM: The rise and decline of national agricultures, 1870 to the present, Sociologia Ruralis, vol.27, issue.4, pp.93-117, 1989.
DOI : 10.1080/03056247708703308

P. J. Ericksen, Conceptualizing food systems for global environmental change research, Global Environmental Change, vol.18, issue.1, pp.234-245, 2008.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.09.002

J. Von-braun and E. Diaz-bonilla, Globalization of agriculture and food: Causes, consequences and policy implications, Globalization of Food and Agriculture and the Poor, 2008.

D. W. Cash, W. Adger, F. Berkes, P. Garden, L. Lebel et al., Scale and Cross-Scale Dynamics: Governance and Information in a Multilevel World, Ecology and Society, vol.11, issue.2, 2006.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-01759-110208

A. Sundkvist, R. Milestad, and A. Jansson, On the importance of tightening feedback loops for sustainable development of food systems, Food Policy, vol.30, issue.2, pp.224-239, 2005.
DOI : 10.1016/j.foodpol.2005.02.003

L. C. Dreyer, M. Z. Hauschild, and J. Schierbeck, A Framework for Social Life Cycle Impact Assessment (10 pp), The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, vol.11, issue.2, pp.88-97, 2005.
DOI : 10.1065/lca2005.08.223

J. N. Galloway, M. Burke, G. E. Bradford, R. Naylor, W. Falcon et al., International Trade in Meat: The Tip of the Pork Chop, AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, vol.36, issue.8, pp.622-629, 2007.
DOI : 10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[622:ITIMTT]2.0.CO;2

L. Mil-i-canals, J. Chenoweth, A. Chapagain, S. Orr, A. Antn et al., Assessing freshwater use impacts in lca: Part iinventory modelling and characterisation

D. Lyons, M. Rice, and R. Wachal, Circuits of scrap: closed loop industrial ecosystems and the geography of US international recyclable material flows 1995-2005, Geographical Journal, vol.47, issue.4, pp.286-300, 2009.
DOI : 10.1111/j.1475-4959.2009.00341.x

F. Geels, Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: a multi-level perspective and a case-study, Research Policy, vol.31, issue.8-9, pp.1257-1274, 2002.
DOI : 10.1016/S0048-7333(02)00062-8

M. Meybeck and C. Vrsmarty, The integrity of river and drainage basin systems: Challenges from environmental changes, Vegetation, Water, Humans and the Climate: a New Perspective on an Interactive System IGBP Global Change Series, International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme and, 2004.

I. Shiklomanov, World water resources: Modern assessment and outlook for the 21st century, tech. rep., IHP-UNESCO, 1999.

S. Zacharias, H. Bogen, L. S. Mauder, R. Fu, T. Ptz et al., A Network of Terrestrial Environmental Observatories in Germany, Vadose Zone Journal, pp.955-973, 2011.
DOI : 10.2136/vzj2010.0139

T. Kalbacher, J. Delfs, H. Shao, W. Wang, M. Walther et al., The IWAS-ToolBox: Software coupling for an integrated water resources management, Environmental Earth Sciences, vol.25, issue.9, pp.1367-1380, 2012.
DOI : 10.1007/s12665-011-1270-y

E. Kalbus, T. Kalbacher, O. Kolditz, E. Krueger, J. Seegert et al., Integrated Water Resources Management under different hydrological, climatic and socio-economic conditions, Environmental Earth Sciences, vol.10, issue.3, pp.1363-1366, 2012.
DOI : 10.1007/s12665-011-1330-3

W. Medema, B. S. Mcintosh, and P. J. Jeffrey, From Premise to Practice: a Critical Assessment of Integrated Water Resources Management and Adaptive Management Approaches in the Water Sector, Ecology and Society, vol.13, issue.2, 2008.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-02611-130229

B. Walker, Resilience, Adaptability, and Transformability in the Goulburn-Broken Catchment, Australia, Ecology and Society, vol.14, issue.1, 2009.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-02824-140112

R. Leakey and R. Lewin, The Sixth Extinction: Patterns of Life and the Future of Humankind, 1996.

H. Willer and L. Kilcher, The World of Organic Agriculture Statistics and Emerging Trends, 2009.

M. Miles and J. Covin, Environmental marketing: a source of reputational, competitive , and financial advantage, Journal of Business Ethics, vol.23, issue.3, pp.299-311, 2000.
DOI : 10.1023/A:1006214509281

H. M. Pereira, P. W. Leadley, V. Proena, R. Alkemade, J. P. Scharlemann et al., Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century, Science, vol.330, issue.6010, pp.1496-1501, 2010.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1196624

M. Felici, V. Lucarini, A. Speranza, and A. Vitolo, Extreme Value Statistics of the Total Energy in an Intermediate-Complexity Model of the Midlatitude Atmospheric Jet. Part I: Stationary Case, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.64, issue.7, pp.2137-2158, 2007.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS3895.1

M. Felici, V. Lucarini, A. Speranza, and A. Vitolo, Extreme Value Statistics of the Total Energy in an Intermediate-Complexity Model of the Midlatitude Atmospheric Jet. Part II: Trend Detection and Assessment, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.64, issue.7, pp.2159-2175, 2007.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS4043.1

P. C. Milly, J. Betancourt, M. Falkenmark, R. M. Hirsch, Z. W. Kundzewicz et al., Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management?, Science, vol.319, issue.5863, pp.573-574, 2008.
DOI : 10.1126/science.1151915

R. W. Katz, M. B. Parlange, and P. Naveau, Statistics of extremes in hydrology, Advances in Water Resources, vol.25, issue.8-12, pp.1287-1304, 2002.
DOI : 10.1016/S0309-1708(02)00056-8

B. T. Werner and D. E. Mcnamara, Dynamics of coupled human-landscape systems, Geomorphology, vol.91, issue.3-4, pp.393-407, 2007.
DOI : 10.1016/j.geomorph.2007.04.020

J. Posey, The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the municipal level: Evidence from floodplain management programs in the United States, Global Environmental Change, vol.19, issue.4, pp.482-493, 2009.
DOI : 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.06.003

C. Fishman, The Big Thirst: The Secret Life and Trubulent Futre of Water, 2011.

C. Londono and A. W. Ando, Valuing preferences over storm water management outcomes given state-dependent preferences and heterogeneous status quo, Annual Meeting of Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 2011.

F. Biermann, M. Betsill, J. Gupta, N. Kanie, L. Lebel et al., Earth system governance: People, places and the planet, tech. rep, 2009.
DOI : 10.7551/mitpress/9780262028226.001.0001

R. Bradfield, G. Wright, G. Burt, G. , and K. Van-der-heijden, The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning, Futures, vol.37, issue.8, pp.785-812, 2005.
DOI : 10.1016/j.futures.2005.01.003

M. D. Rounsevell and M. J. Metzger, Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2010.

S. Bankes, Tools and techniques for developing policies for complex and uncertain systems, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, pp.7263-7266, 2002.
DOI : 10.1073/pnas.092081399

URL : http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC128595

B. De-vries, Scenarios: guidance for an uncertain and complex world?, ch, pp.378-398, 2007.

V. Grimm and J. Calabrese, What Is Resilience? A Short Introduction, pp.3-14, 2011.
DOI : 10.1007/978-3-642-20423-4_1

C. Holling, Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems, Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, vol.4, issue.1, pp.1-24, 1973.
DOI : 10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245

L. Gunderson, C. Allen, and C. Holling, Foundations of ecological resilience. Paperback, 2009.

G. Brundtland, Our common Future Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development, 1987.

C. Perring, Resilience and sustainable development, Environment and Development Economics, vol.11, issue.04, pp.417-427, 2004.
DOI : 10.1017/S1355770X06003020

F. S. Brand and K. Jax, Focusing the Meaning(s) of Resilience: Resilience as a Descriptive Concept and a Boundary Object, Ecology and Society, vol.12, issue.1, 2007.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-02029-120123

N. Gotts, Resilience, Panarchy, and World-Systems Analysis, Ecology and Society, vol.12, issue.1, 2007.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-02017-120124

B. Walker, S. Carpenter, J. Anderies, N. Abel, G. Cumming et al., Resilience Management in Social-ecological Systems: a Working Hypothesis for a Participatory Approach, Conservation Ecology, vol.6, issue.1, 2002.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-00356-060114

S. Martin, The Cost of Restoration as a Way of Defining Resilience: a Viability Approach Applied to a Model of Lake Eutrophication, Ecology and Society, vol.9, issue.2, 2004.
DOI : 10.5751/ES-00659-090208