EFAS forecasts for the MarchApril 2006 flood in the Czech part of the Elbe River Basin a case study - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Atmospheric Science Letters Année : 2008

EFAS forecasts for the MarchApril 2006 flood in the Czech part of the Elbe River Basin a case study

Prévisions EFAS pour les crues de Mars-Avril 2006 dans la partie Tchèque du Bassin de l'Elbe - cas d'étude

Résumé

In spring 2006, the Elbe River Basin was hit by severe snowmelt-driven floods. This article investigates the performance of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS) forecasts for this event in the Czech part of the Elbe River Basin. EFAS runs preoperationally at the European Commission DG Joint Research Centre where it is developed and tested in close collaboration with the National Hydrological Services. The analysis shows that EFAS forecasts were able to detect a signal of probability of flooding up to 810 days in advance. The added value of ensemble forecasts to early flood warning is illustrated.

Dates et versions

hal-02591160 , version 1 (15-05-2020)

Identifiants

Citer

J. Younis, Maria-Helena Ramos, J. Thielen. EFAS forecasts for the MarchApril 2006 flood in the Czech part of the Elbe River Basin a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 2008, 9 (2), pp.88-94. ⟨10.1002/asl.179⟩. ⟨hal-02591160⟩

Collections

IRSTEA INRAE HYCAR
4 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More