Changing climate shifts timing of European floods
G. Blöschl
(1)
,
J. Hall
(1)
,
J. Parajka
(1)
,
R.A.P. Perdigão
(1)
,
B. Merz
(2)
,
B. Arheimer
,
G.T. Aronica
(3)
,
A. Bilibashi
(4)
,
O. Bonacci
(5)
,
M. Borga
(6)
,
I. Canjevac
(7)
,
A. Castellarin
(8)
,
G.B. Chirico
(9)
,
P. Claps
(10)
,
K. Fiala
(11)
,
N. Frolova
(12)
,
L. Gorbachova
(13)
,
A. Gul
(14)
,
J. Hannaford
(15)
,
S. Harrigan
(15)
,
M. Kireeva
(12)
,
Kiss Andrea
,
T.R. Kjeldsen
(16)
,
S. Kohnova
(17)
,
J.J. Koskela
(18)
,
O. Ledvinka
(19)
,
N. Macdonald
(20)
,
M. Mavrova Guirguinova
(21)
,
L. Mediero
(22)
,
R. Merz
(23)
,
P. Molnar
(24)
,
Andrea Montanari
(8)
,
Craig Murphy
(25)
,
M. Osuch
(26)
,
V. Ovcharuk
(27)
,
I. Radevski
(28)
,
M. Rogger
(1)
,
J.L. Salinas
(1)
,
Eric Sauquet
(29)
,
M. Sraj
(30)
,
J. Szolgay
(17)
,
A. Viglione
(1)
,
E. Volpi
(31)
,
D. Wilson
(32)
,
K. Zaimi
(33)
,
N. Zivkovic
(34)
1
INSTITUTE OF HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING AND WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT WIEN AUT
2 HELMHOLTZ CENTRE POTSDAM DEU
3 DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY OF MESSINA ITA
4 CONTROL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING RENEWABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGY TIRANA ALB
5 FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING ARCHITECTURE AND GEODESY SPLIT UNIVERSITY HRV
6 Unipd - Università degli Studi di Padova = University of Padua
7 University of Zagreb
8 UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna = University of Bologna
9 University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
10 DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND AND INFRASTRUCTURE ENGINEERING POLITECNICO DI TORINO ITA
11 LOWER TISZA DISTRICT WATER DIRECTORATE SZEGED HUN
12 MSU - Lomonosov Moscow State University
13 UHMI - Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute
14 DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING DOKUZ EYLUL UNIVERSITY IZMIR TUR
15 CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY WALLINGFORD OXFORDSHIRE GBR
16 University of Bath [Bath]
17 DEPARTMENT OF LAND AND WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT FACULTY OF CICIL ENGINEERING SLOVAK UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY BRATISLAVA SVK
18 FINNISH ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE HELSINKI FIN
19 CZECH HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE PRAGUE CZE
20 University of Liverpool
21 UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE CIVIL ENGINEERING AND GEODESY SOFIA BGR
22 DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING HYDRAULIC ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF MADRID ESP
23 DEPARTMENT OF CATCHMENT HYDROLOGY HELMHOLTZ CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH DEU
24 ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich]
25 Maynooth University - National University of Ireland Maynooth
26 DEPARTMENT OF HYDROLOGY AND HYDRODYNAMICS INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS POLISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES WARSAW POL
27 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE ODESSA STATE ENVIRONMENTAL UNIVERSITY UKR
28 UKIM - Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje
29 UR HHLY - Hydrologie-Hydraulique
30 University of Ljubljana
31 DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY ROMA ITA
32 NORWEIGIAN WATER RESOURCES AND ENERGY DIRECTORATE OSLO NOR
33 INSTITUTE OF GEOSCIENCES ENERGY WATER AND ENVIRONMENT POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF TIRANA ALB
34 FACULTY OF GEOGRAPHY UNIVERSITY OF BELGRADE SRB
2 HELMHOLTZ CENTRE POTSDAM DEU
3 DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY OF MESSINA ITA
4 CONTROL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING RENEWABLE ENERGY SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGY TIRANA ALB
5 FACULTY OF CIVIL ENGINEERING ARCHITECTURE AND GEODESY SPLIT UNIVERSITY HRV
6 Unipd - Università degli Studi di Padova = University of Padua
7 University of Zagreb
8 UNIBO - Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna = University of Bologna
9 University of Naples Federico II = Università degli studi di Napoli Federico II
10 DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT LAND AND INFRASTRUCTURE ENGINEERING POLITECNICO DI TORINO ITA
11 LOWER TISZA DISTRICT WATER DIRECTORATE SZEGED HUN
12 MSU - Lomonosov Moscow State University
13 UHMI - Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute
14 DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING DOKUZ EYLUL UNIVERSITY IZMIR TUR
15 CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY WALLINGFORD OXFORDSHIRE GBR
16 University of Bath [Bath]
17 DEPARTMENT OF LAND AND WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT FACULTY OF CICIL ENGINEERING SLOVAK UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY BRATISLAVA SVK
18 FINNISH ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE HELSINKI FIN
19 CZECH HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE PRAGUE CZE
20 University of Liverpool
21 UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE CIVIL ENGINEERING AND GEODESY SOFIA BGR
22 DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING HYDRAULIC ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF MADRID ESP
23 DEPARTMENT OF CATCHMENT HYDROLOGY HELMHOLTZ CENTRE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH DEU
24 ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich]
25 Maynooth University - National University of Ireland Maynooth
26 DEPARTMENT OF HYDROLOGY AND HYDRODYNAMICS INSTITUTE OF GEOPHYSICS POLISH ACADEMY OF SCIENCES WARSAW POL
27 HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE ODESSA STATE ENVIRONMENTAL UNIVERSITY UKR
28 UKIM - Ss. Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje
29 UR HHLY - Hydrologie-Hydraulique
30 University of Ljubljana
31 DEPARTMENT OF ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY ROMA ITA
32 NORWEIGIAN WATER RESOURCES AND ENERGY DIRECTORATE OSLO NOR
33 INSTITUTE OF GEOSCIENCES ENERGY WATER AND ENVIRONMENT POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF TIRANA ALB
34 FACULTY OF GEOGRAPHY UNIVERSITY OF BELGRADE SRB
B. Arheimer
- Fonction : Auteur
Kiss Andrea
- Fonction : Auteur
Eric Sauquet
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 736207
- IdHAL : eric-sauquet
- ORCID : 0000-0001-9539-7730
- IdRef : 12087525X
Résumé
A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.