Spread and control of Johne’s disease in an enzootic cattle region: a multi-scale model to evaluate complex strategies combining biosecurity and trade regulations - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2015

Spread and control of Johne’s disease in an enzootic cattle region: a multi-scale model to evaluate complex strategies combining biosecurity and trade regulations

Résumé

Purpose Johne’s disease is a worldwide enzootic disease of cattle inducing a large economic impact for dairy producers due to production losses and early culling of cows. This chronic disease is characterized by a long incubation period, and diagnostic tests used in routine are poorly sensitive. Hence, observing the disease spread in the field is hardly possible, whereas there is a need for evaluating control strategies. Our objective is to better understand the spread of Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (Map) at a regional scale using a modelling approach, and to compare through simulations control strategies combining biosecurity measures (early culling, hygiene improvement, calf management) and tests at purchase. Methods We developed the first multi-scale mechanistic model of Map spread between dairy cattle herds, accounting for stochastic within-herd dynamics (demography and infection), indirect local transmission, and incorporating data on animal trade and on herd-specific size and management. We modeled all of the 12,857 dairy herds located in Brittany (France) having more than 15 dairy females. Data from 2005 to 2013 was used to calibrate each herd size and demographic rates, and to define trade events. We assumed initially 30% of the herds to be infected. Results Each measure tested alone or in combination with tests at purchase succeeded in slowing down the regional Map spread, but not in decreasing the proportion of infected herds. More than two measures had to be combined to effectively reduce the herd-level prevalence. However, in that latter case, only a moderate level of implementation of each measure was required, indicating the operational potential of such combined strategies. Conclusions Our study highlights the challenge of controlling Map spread in an endemically infected region because of poor test characteristics and frequent trade movements. Relevance Our model is a flexible and efficient tool to help collective animal health managers in defining relevant control strategies at a regional scale, accounting for regional specificities in terms of contact network and farms’ characteristics
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Dates et versions

hal-02743095 , version 1 (03-06-2020)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02743095 , version 1
  • PRODINRA : 334429

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Pauline Ezanno, Gael Beaunée, Elisabeta Vergu. Spread and control of Johne’s disease in an enzootic cattle region: a multi-scale model to evaluate complex strategies combining biosecurity and trade regulations. 14. International Symposium on Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics (ISVEE), Nov 2015, Mérida, Yucatan, Mexico. 670 p. ⟨hal-02743095⟩
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