Optimized cultivar deployment improves the efficiency and stability of sunflower crop production at national scale
Abstract
Key message Crop simulation helps to analyze environmental impacts on crops and provides year-independent
context information. This information is of major importance when deciding which cultivar to choose at sowing time.
Abstract Plant breeding programs design new crop cultivars which, while developed for distinct populations of environments,
are nevertheless grown over large areas during their time in the market. Over its cultivation area, the crop is exposed
to highly diverse stress patterns caused by climatic uncertainty and multiple management options, which often leads to
decreased expected crop performance. In this study, we aim to assess how finer spatial management of genetic resources
could reduce the yield variance explained by genotype × environment interactions in a set of cropping environments and
ultimately improve the efficiency and stability of crop production. We used modeling and simulation to predict the crop
performance resulting from the interaction between cultivar growth and development, climate and soil conditions, and management
practices. We designed a computational experiment that evaluated the performance of a collection of commercial
sunflower cultivars in a realistic population of cropping conditions in France, built from extensive agricultural surveys.
Distinct farming locations sharing similar simulated abiotic stress patterns were clustered together to specify environment
types. We then used optimization methods to search for cultivars × environments combinations leading to increased yield
expectations. Results showed that a single cultivar choice adapted to the most frequent environment-type in the population
is a robust strategy. However, the relevance of cultivar recommendations to specific locations was gradually increasing with
the knowledge of pedo-climatic conditions. We argue that this approach while being operational on current genetic material
could act synergistically with plant breeding as more diverse material could enable access to cultivars with distinctive traits,
more adapted to specific conditions.
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