Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential

Jose Rafael Guarin; Pierre Martre; Frank Ewert; Heidi Webber; Sibylle Dueri; Daniel Calderini; Matthew Reynolds; Gemma Molero; Daniel Miralles; Guillermo Garcia; Gustavo Slafer; Francesco Giunta; Diego N L Pequeno; Tommaso Stella; Mukhtar Ahmed; Phillip D Alderman; Bruno Basso; Andres G Berger; Marco Bindi; Gennady Bracho-Mujica; Davide Cammarano; Yi Chen; Benjamin Dumont; Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei; Elias Fereres; Roberto Ferrise; Thomas Gaiser; Yujing Gao; Margarita Garcia-Vila; Sebastian Gayler; Zvi Hochman; Gerrit Hoogenboom; Leslie A Hunt; Kurt C Kersebaum; Claas Nendel; Jørgen E Olesen; Taru Palosuo; Eckart Priesack; Johannes W M Pullens; Alfredo Rodríguez; Reimund P Rötter; Margarita Ruiz Ramos; Mikhail A Semenov; Nimai Senapati; Stefan Siebert; Amit Kumar Srivastava; Claudio Stöckle; Iwan Supit; Fulu Tao; Peter Thorburn; Enli Wang; Tobias Karl David Weber; Liujun Xiao; Zhao Zhang; Chuang Zhao; Jin Zhao; Zhigan Zhao; Yan Zhu; Senthold Asseng

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c

Journal Articles Environmental Research Letters Year : 2022

Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential

(1, 2) , (3) , (4, 5) , (4, 5) , (3) , (6) , (7) , (8) , (9, 10) , (9, 10) , (11, 12) , (13) , (7) , (4, 5) , (14, 15) , (16) , (17) , (18) , (19) , (20) , (21) , (22) , (23) , (4) , (24, 25) , (19) , (5) , (1) , (24, 25) , (26) , (27) , (1) , (28) , (4, 20, 29) , (4, 29, 30) , (31) , (32) , (33) , (31) , (34, 35) , (20, 36) , (35) , (37) , (37) , (20) , (5) , (38) , (39) , (22, 32) , (27) , (27) , (26, 40) , (41, 42) , (43) , (44) , (45, 31) , (27, 45) , (42) , (46)

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

Jose Rafael Guarin

Function : Author
PersonId : 1154515
ORCID : 0000-0002-3167-4329

University of Florida [Gainesville]

Center for Climate Systems Research [New York]

Pierre Martre

Function : Author
PersonId : 183362
IdHAL : pierre-martre
ORCID : 0000-0002-7419-6558
IdRef : 163589194

Écophysiologie des Plantes sous Stress environnementaux

Frank Ewert

Function : Author

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn]

Heidi Webber

Function : Author

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn]

Sibylle Dueri

Function : Author

Écophysiologie des Plantes sous Stress environnementaux

Daniel Calderini

Function : Author

Universidad Austral de Chile

Matthew Reynolds

Function : Author

International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center

Gemma Molero

Function : Author

KWS Momont SAS

Daniel Miralles

Function : Author

Universitad de Buenos Aires = University of Buenos Aires [Argentina]

Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiologicas y Ecologicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura

Guillermo Garcia

Function : Author

Universitad de Buenos Aires = University of Buenos Aires [Argentina]

Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiologicas y Ecologicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura

Gustavo Slafer

Function : Author

Universitat de Lleida

Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats

Francesco Giunta

Function : Author

Università degli Studi di Sassari = University of Sassari [Sassari]

Diego N L Pequeno

Function : Author

International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center

Tommaso Stella

Function : Author

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn]

Mukhtar Ahmed

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217287
ORCID : 0000-0002-7223-5541

Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University = PMAS-Arid Agriculture University Rawalpindi

Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences

Phillip D Alderman

Function : Author

Oklahoma State University [Stillwater]

Bruno Basso

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217288
ORCID : 0000-0003-2090-4616

Michigan State University [East Lansing]

Andres G Berger

Function : Author

Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria

Marco Bindi

Function : Author

Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry

Gennady Bracho-Mujica

Function : Author

Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Davide Cammarano

Function : Author

Purdue University [West Lafayette]

Yi Chen

Function : Author

Institute of geographical sciences and natural resources research [CAS]

Benjamin Dumont

Function : Author

Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech [Gembloux]

Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei

Function : Author
PersonId : 1154519
ORCID : 0000-0003-2603-8034

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Elias Fereres

Function : Author

Instituto de Agricultura Sostenible - Institute for Sustainable Agriculture

Universidad de Córdoba = University of Córdoba [Córdoba]

Roberto Ferrise

Function : Author

Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry

Thomas Gaiser

Function : Author
PersonId : 1215367
ORCID : 0000-0002-5820-2364

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn]

Yujing Gao

Function : Author

University of Florida [Gainesville]

Margarita Garcia-Vila

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217289
ORCID : 0000-0001-5737-4669

Instituto de Agricultura Sostenible - Institute for Sustainable Agriculture

Universidad de Córdoba = University of Córdoba [Córdoba]

Sebastian Gayler

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217290
ORCID : 0000-0002-8577-6486

University of Hohenheim

Zvi Hochman

Function : Author
PersonId : 1154521
ORCID : 0000-0002-6217-5231

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra]

Gerrit Hoogenboom

Function : Author

University of Florida [Gainesville]

Leslie A Hunt

Function : Author

University of Guelph

Kurt C Kersebaum

Function : Author

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Global Change Research Institute, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno

Claas Nendel

Function : Author
PersonId : 772081
ORCID : 0000-0001-7608-9097

Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research

Global Change Research Institute, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno

University of Potsdam = Universität Potsdam

Jørgen E Olesen

Function : Author

Aarhus University [Aarhus]

Taru Palosuo

Function : Author

Natural Resources Institute Finland

Eckart Priesack

Function : Author

Helmholtz Zentrum München = German Research Center for Environmental Health

Johannes W M Pullens

Function : Author

Aarhus University [Aarhus]

Alfredo Rodríguez

Function : Author

Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha = University of Castilla-La Mancha

Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios y Medioambientales

Reimund P Rötter

Function : Author

Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Centre for Biodiversity and Sustainable Land-use [University of Göttingen]

Margarita Ruiz Ramos

Function : Author

Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios y Medioambientales

Mikhail A Semenov

Function : Author

Rothamsted Research

Nimai Senapati

Function : Author
PersonId : 1154527
ORCID : 0000-0002-0238-6694

Rothamsted Research

Stefan Siebert

Function : Author
PersonId : 1159367
ORCID : 0000-0002-9998-0672

Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Amit Kumar Srivastava

Function : Author

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn]

Claudio Stöckle

Function : Author

Washington State University

Iwan Supit

Function : Author

Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen]

Fulu Tao

Function : Author

Institute of geographical sciences and natural resources research [CAS]

Natural Resources Institute Finland

Peter Thorburn

Function : Author

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra]

Enli Wang

Function : Author

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra]

Tobias Karl David Weber

Function : Author

University of Hohenheim

Universität Kassel [Kassel]

Liujun Xiao

Function : Author

Zhejiang University

Nanjing Agricultural University

Zhao Zhang

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217291
ORCID : 0000-0002-5697-8011

Building artificial Intelligence between trust, Responsibility and Decision

Chuang Zhao

Function : Author
PersonId : 1217292
ORCID : 0000-0002-9535-8181

Beijing Normal University

Jin Zhao

Function : Author

China Agricultural University

Aarhus University [Aarhus]

Zhigan Zhao

Function : Author

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra]

China Agricultural University

Yan Zhu

Function : Author

Nanjing Agricultural University

Senthold Asseng

Function : Author

Technische Universität Munchen - Université Technique de Munich [Munich, Allemagne]

Abstract

Abstract Wheat is the most widely grown food crop, with 761 Mt produced globally in 2020. To meet the expected grain demand by mid-century, wheat breeding strategies must continue to improve upon yield-advancing physiological traits, regardless of climate change impacts. Here, the best performing doubled haploid (DH) crosses with an increased canopy photosynthesis from wheat field experiments in the literature were extrapolated to the global scale with a multi-model ensemble of process-based wheat crop models to estimate global wheat production. The DH field experiments were also used to determine a quantitative relationship between wheat production and solar radiation to estimate genetic yield potential. The multi-model ensemble projected a global annual wheat production of 1050 ± 145 Mt due to the improved canopy photosynthesis, a 37% increase, without expanding cropping area. Achieving this genetic yield potential would meet the lower estimate of the projected grain demand in 2050, albeit with considerable challenges.

Keywords

yield increase radiation use efficiency wheat potential yield crop model ensemble global food security

Domains

Life Sciences [q-bio] Vegetal Biology

Fichier principal

Guarin-ER-2022-CC-BY.pdf (1.54 Mo)

Guarin-ER-2022-CC-BY (1).pdf (1.54 Mo)

Origin : Publisher files allowed on an open archive
Licence : CC BY - Attribution

Dominique Fournier : Connect in order to contact the contributor

https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-03946522

Submitted on : Thursday, January 19, 2023-11:02:39 AM

Last modification on : Tuesday, January 24, 2023-3:53:50 AM

Dates and versions

hal-03946522 , version 1 (19-01-2023)

Licence

Attribution - CC BY 4.0

Identifiers

HAL Id : hal-03946522 , version 1
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c
WOS : 000897839900001

Cite

Jose Rafael Guarin, Pierre Martre, Frank Ewert, Heidi Webber, Sibylle Dueri, et al.. Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential. Environmental Research Letters, 2022, 17 (12), pp.124045. ⟨10.1088/1748-9326/aca77c⟩. ⟨hal-03946522⟩

Export

BibTeX TEI Dublin Core DC Terms EndNote Datacite

Collections

CNRS INRIA INRIA-CHILE UNIV-LORRAINE LORIA LORIA-AIS MONTPELLIER-SUPAGRO INRAE INRAEOCCITANIEMONTPELLIER LEPSE

0 View

0 Download

Evidence for increasing global wheat yield potential

Abstract

Keywords

Domains

Dates and versions

Licence

Identifiers

Cite

Export

Collections

Altmetric

Share