<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<TEI xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:hal="http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/" xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/" xmlns:gmlce="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/ce" version="1.1" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0 http://api.archives-ouvertes.fr/documents/aofr-sword.xsd">
  <teiHeader>
    <fileDesc>
      <titleStmt>
        <title>HAL TEI export of hal-04086987</title>
      </titleStmt>
      <publicationStmt>
        <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
        <availability status="restricted">
          <licence target="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/">CC0 1.0 - Universal</licence>
        </availability>
        <date when="2026-05-16T02:57:42+02:00"/>
      </publicationStmt>
      <sourceDesc>
        <p part="N">HAL API Platform</p>
      </sourceDesc>
    </fileDesc>
  </teiHeader>
  <text>
    <body>
      <listBibl>
        <biblFull>
          <titleStmt>
            <title xml:lang="en">Estimating the parameters of a flood forecasting model: with or without updating procedures?</title>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Paul</forename>
                <forename type="middle">C.</forename>
                <surname>Astagneau</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">1d3e4f34a8c114c241e3938347a54960</email>
              <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="string">paul-astagneau</idno>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">747004</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">2247426-747004</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6688-5783</idno>
              <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/268455112</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">François</forename>
                <surname>Bourgin</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">ac9012d0ca64c55731fae0ef6740eb50</email>
              <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="string">francois-bourgin</idno>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">183522</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">25939-183522</idno>
              <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/F-8534-2013</idno>
              <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/184117879</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2820-7260</idno>
              <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/http://www.researcherid.com/rid/F-8534-2013</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Vazken</forename>
                <surname>Andréassian</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">7013b4a07f1e167a6df5ae59a3d3933f</email>
              <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="string">vazken-andreassian</idno>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">736733</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">37618-736733</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7124-9303</idno>
              <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/069738238</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Charles</forename>
                <surname>Perrin</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">111a5e570c6d07f680c887055f0c3b3f</email>
              <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="string">charles-perrin</idno>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">747003</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">53083-747003</idno>
              <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8552-1881</idno>
              <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/101875819</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
            </author>
            <editor role="depositor">
              <persName>
                <forename>Paul</forename>
                <surname>Astagneau</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">1d3e4f34a8c114c241e3938347a54960</email>
              <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
            </editor>
          </titleStmt>
          <editionStmt>
            <edition n="v1" type="current">
              <date type="whenSubmitted">2023-05-02 16:33:52</date>
              <date type="whenModified">2025-01-29 03:34:26</date>
              <date type="whenReleased">2023-05-02 16:33:52</date>
              <date type="whenProduced">2023-04-24</date>
              <fs>
                <f name="inra_publicVise_local" notation="string" n="SC">
                  <string>Scientists</string>
                </f>
              </fs>
            </edition>
            <respStmt>
              <resp>contributor</resp>
              <name key="1044197">
                <persName>
                  <forename>Paul</forename>
                  <surname>Astagneau</surname>
                </persName>
                <email type="md5">1d3e4f34a8c114c241e3938347a54960</email>
                <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
              </name>
            </respStmt>
          </editionStmt>
          <publicationStmt>
            <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
            <idno type="halId">hal-04086987</idno>
            <idno type="halUri">https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04086987</idno>
            <idno type="halBibtex">astagneau:hal-04086987</idno>
            <idno type="halRefHtml">&lt;i&gt;EGU General Assembly 2023&lt;/i&gt;, Apr 2023, Vienna, Austria. &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5492"&gt;&amp;#x27E8;10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5492&amp;#x27E9;&lt;/a&gt;</idno>
            <idno type="halRef">EGU General Assembly 2023, Apr 2023, Vienna, Austria. &amp;#x27E8;10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5492&amp;#x27E9;</idno>
            <availability status="restricted"/>
          </publicationStmt>
          <seriesStmt>
            <idno type="stamp" n="GIP-BE">GIP Bretagne Environnement</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="UNIV-PARIS-SACLAY">Université Paris-Saclay</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="INRAE">Institut National de Recherche en Agriculture, Alimentation et Environnement</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="INRAE-AQUA">INRAE-AQUA</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="INRAE-UPSACLAY" corresp="UNIV-PARIS-SACLAY">INRAE-UPSACLAY</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="GS-BIOSPHERA">Graduate School Biologie, Société, Ecologie &amp; Environnement, Ressources, Agriculture &amp; Alimentation</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="HYCAR">Hydrosystèmes Continentaux Anthropisés - Ressources, Risques, Restauration</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="RESEAU-EAU">Réseau "Systèmes Agricoles et Eau"</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="APT_TEST">APT_TEST</idno>
          </seriesStmt>
          <notesStmt>
            <note type="audience" n="2">International</note>
            <note type="invited" n="0">No</note>
            <note type="popular" n="0">No</note>
            <note type="peer" n="1">Yes</note>
            <note type="proceedings" n="0">No</note>
          </notesStmt>
          <sourceDesc>
            <biblStruct>
              <analytic>
                <title xml:lang="en">Estimating the parameters of a flood forecasting model: with or without updating procedures?</title>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Paul</forename>
                    <forename type="middle">C.</forename>
                    <surname>Astagneau</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">1d3e4f34a8c114c241e3938347a54960</email>
                  <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="string">paul-astagneau</idno>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">747004</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">2247426-747004</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6688-5783</idno>
                  <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/268455112</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">François</forename>
                    <surname>Bourgin</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">ac9012d0ca64c55731fae0ef6740eb50</email>
                  <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="string">francois-bourgin</idno>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">183522</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">25939-183522</idno>
                  <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/F-8534-2013</idno>
                  <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/184117879</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2820-7260</idno>
                  <idno type="RESEARCHERID">http://www.researcherid.com/rid/http://www.researcherid.com/rid/F-8534-2013</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Vazken</forename>
                    <surname>Andréassian</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">7013b4a07f1e167a6df5ae59a3d3933f</email>
                  <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="string">vazken-andreassian</idno>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">736733</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">37618-736733</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7124-9303</idno>
                  <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/069738238</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Charles</forename>
                    <surname>Perrin</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">111a5e570c6d07f680c887055f0c3b3f</email>
                  <email type="domain">inrae.fr</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="string">charles-perrin</idno>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">747003</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">53083-747003</idno>
                  <idno type="ORCID">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8552-1881</idno>
                  <idno type="IDREF">https://www.idref.fr/101875819</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-1002504"/>
                </author>
              </analytic>
              <monogr>
                <meeting>
                  <title>EGU General Assembly 2023</title>
                  <date type="start">2023-04-24</date>
                  <date type="end">2023-04-28</date>
                  <settlement>Vienna</settlement>
                  <country key="AT">Austria</country>
                </meeting>
                <imprint>
                  <date type="datePub">2023-04-27</date>
                </imprint>
              </monogr>
              <idno type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-egu23-5492</idno>
            </biblStruct>
          </sourceDesc>
          <profileDesc>
            <langUsage>
              <language ident="en">English</language>
            </langUsage>
            <textClass>
              <classCode scheme="halDomain" n="sdu.stu.hy">Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Hydrology</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halOldTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTreeTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
            </textClass>
            <abstract xml:lang="en">
              <p>When they are used for operational forecasting, hydrological models are almost always combined with some kind of updating procedures. Then a question arises: should the model parameters be calibrated with or without the updating procedures? Calibrating with the updating procedures often improves forecast efficiency, but it can also lead to parameter inconsistency and ultimately to a drop in performance in some cases. In this study, we evaluate the pros and cons of making the parameters of a flood forecasting model vary with lead times. We investigate the dependencies of the model parameters to the lead times and determine where and when this procedure significantly improves forecast quality. A modified version of the GR5H hydrological model is used on 229 French catchments where 10,652 events were selected. The model is run at the hourly time step and combined with a simple updating procedure to produce forecasts at four lead times. The model parameters were estimated from a large screening of the parameter space (3 million runs for each catchment). Results show that the parameters related to fast catchment processes are the most dependant on lead times, indicating the need for more specific parameter estimation methods when modelling catchments prone to flash floods.</p>
            </abstract>
          </profileDesc>
        </biblFull>
      </listBibl>
    </body>
    <back>
      <listOrg type="structures">
        <org type="laboratory" xml:id="struct-1002504" status="VALID">
          <idno type="RNSR">201822690P</idno>
          <orgName>Hydrosystèmes continentaux anthropisés : ressources, risques, restauration</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">UR HYCAR</orgName>
          <date type="start">2020-01-01</date>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>1 rue Pierre-Gilles de Gennes - CS 10030 - 92761 Antony Cedex</addrLine>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">https://hycar.hub.inrae.fr/</ref>
          </desc>
          <listRelation>
            <relation active="#struct-577435" type="direct"/>
          </listRelation>
        </org>
        <org type="institution" xml:id="struct-577435" status="VALID">
          <idno type="ROR">https://ror.org/003vg9w96</idno>
          <orgName>Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">INRAE</orgName>
          <date type="start">2020-01-01</date>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <country key="FR"/>
            </address>
          </desc>
        </org>
      </listOrg>
    </back>
  </text>
</TEI>