L. Alfieri, J. Thielen, and F. Pappenberger, Ensemble hydro-meteorological simulation for flash flood early detection in southern Switzerland, Journal of Hydrology, pp.143-153, 2012.

V. Andréassian, C. Perrin, and C. Michel, Impact of imperfect potential evapotranspiration knowledge on the efficiency and parameters of watershed models, Journal of Hydrology, vol.286, issue.1-4, pp.19-35, 2004.

V. Andréassian, C. Perrin, L. Berthet, N. Le-moine, J. Lerat et al., Crash tests for a standardized evaluation of hydrological models, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, issue.13, pp.1757-1764, 2009.

V. Andréassian and C. Perrin, On the ambiguous interpretation of the Turc-Budyko nondimensional graph, Water Resources Research, vol.48, issue.10, p.10601, 2012.

H. Andrieu, J. D. Creutin, G. Delrieu, and D. Faure, Use of a weather radar for the hydrology of a mountainous area. Part I: radar measurement interpretation, Journal of Hydrology, vol.193, issue.1-4, pp.1-25, 1997.

P. Arnaud, Modèle de prédétermination de crues basé sur la simulation stochastique des pluies horaires : extension de sa zone de validité (pourtour méditerranéen français), 1997.

P. Arnaud, Simplification de gr3h pour la prédétermination des crues. Application sur des petits bassins versants. Note interne, vol.26, p.p, 2005.

P. Arnaud and J. Fine, Modélisation pluie-débit pour la prédétermination des crues par SHYREG. Etude du o po te e t à l i fi i du od le G' si plifi, vol.21, p.p, 2006.

P. Arnaud, Développement de la version AIGA 2. Application aux données du Gardons à Anduze, vol.20, 2007.

P. Aud,

. D-eloppe-e-t-de-la-thode-aiga-e-sio,

P. Arnaud, J. Lavabre, C. Fouchier, S. Diss, and S. P. Javelle, Sensitivity of hydrological models to uncertainty in rainfall input, Sensibilité des modèles hydrologiques aux incertitudes dues à l'information pluviométrique, vol.56, pp.397-410, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02594889

Y. Aubert, Estimation des valeurs extrêmes de débit pa la thode "h eg: 'efle io s su l uifi alit da s la modélisation de la transformation pluie en débit. IRSTEA, p.316, 2012.

A. Bachoc, R. Garçon, F. Daly, A. Gautheron, E. Gaume et al., Besoins ope atio els et p og s a tuels e ati e de o aissa e des phe o es ph si ues da s l h d ologie des ues, La Houille Blanche, issue.1, pp.14-21, 2011.

Z. Bao, J. Zhang, J. Liu, G. Fu, G. Wang et al., Comparison of regionalization approaches based on regression and similarity for predictions in ungauged catchments under multiple hydro-climatic conditions, Journal of Hydrology, pp.37-46, 2012.

V. A. Bell, A. L. Kay, R. G. Jones, and R. J. Moore, Development of a high resolution grid-based river flow model for use with regional climate model output, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.11, issue.1, pp.532-549, 2007.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00305636

A. Berne and W. F. Krajewski, Radar for hydrology: Unfulfilled promise or unrecognized potential?, Advances in Water Resources, vol.51, pp.357-366, 2013.

L. Berthet, C. V.-andréassian, P. Perrin, and . Javelle, How crucial is it to account for the antecedent moisture conditions in flood forecasting? Comparison of event-based and continuous approaches on 178 catchments, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.13, issue.6, pp.819-831, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00583212

M. Bertrand, F. Liébault, and H. Piégay, Debris-flow susceptibility of upland catchments, Natural Hazards, pp.1-15, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02599056

K. J. Beven and M. J. Kirkby, Considerations in the development and validation of a simple physically based, variable contributing area model of catchment hydrology, Proc. Fort Collins 3rd international hydrology symposium, pp.23-36, 1977.

G. Blöschl, Flood warning -On the value of local information, International Journal of River Basin Management, vol.6, issue.1, pp.41-50, 2008.

L. Bonnifait, G. Delrieu, M. L. Lay, B. Boudevillain, A. Masson et al., Distributed hydrologic and hydraulic modelling with radar rainfall input: Reconstruction of the 8-9, Advances in Water Resources, vol.32, issue.7, pp.1077-1089, 2002.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00400576

M. Borga, Accuracy of radar rainfall estimates for streamflow simulation, Journal of Hydrology, vol.267, issue.1-2, pp.26-39, 2002.

M. Borga, P. Boscolo, F. Zanon, and M. Sangati, Hydrometeorological Analysis of the 29 August 2003 Flash Flood in the Eastern Italian Alps, Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol.8, issue.5, pp.1049-1067, 2007.

M. Borga, E. Gaume, J. D. Creutin, and L. Marchi, Surveying flash floods: gauging the ungauged extremes, Hydrological Processes, vol.22, pp.3883-3885, 2008.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00388066

M. Borga, E. N. Anagnostou, G. Blöschl, and J. D. Creutin, Flash flood forecasting, warning and risk management: The HYDRATE project, Environmental Science and Policy, vol.14, issue.7, pp.834-844, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00647706

D. Breil, Projet RHYTMME, 2007.

M. Calianno, I. Ruin, and J. J. Gourley, Supplementing flash flood reports with impact classifications, Journal of Hydrology, vol.477, pp.1-16, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01698824

T. M. Carpenter, J. A. Sperfslage, K. P. Georgakakos, T. Sweeney, and D. L. Fread, National threshold runoff estimation utilizing GIS in support of operational flash flood warning systems, Journal of Hydrology, vol.224, issue.1-2, pp.21-44, 1999.

A. Caruso, Qualification des débits de crues SHYREG, dans le cadre du projet CARTINO. Cas des bassins versants influencés par des ouvrages hydrauliques, 2012.

. Cete-méditerranée, Volet 1 : Identification des secteurs karstiques favorables à la contribution aux crues des cours d'eau. Evaluation de la contribution du karst aux crues de l'Argens et la Nartuby, 2011.

F. H. Chiew, M. J. Stewardson, and T. A. Mcmahon, Comparison of six rainfall-runoff modelling approaches, Journal of Hydrology, vol.147, issue.1-4, pp.1-36, 1993.

C. G. Collier, Flash flood forecasting: What are the limits of predictability?, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol.133, issue.622, pp.3-23, 2007.

L. Coron, C. V.-andréassian, J. Perrin, J. Lerat, M. Vaze et al., Crash testing hydrological models in contrasted climate conditions: An experiment on 216 Australian catchments, Water Resour. Res, vol.48, issue.5, p.5552, 2012.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00763573

B. A. Cosgrove, S. Reed, F. Ding, Y. Zhang, Z. Cui et al., Flash flood forecasting for ungauged locations with NEXRAD precipitation data, threshold frequencies, and a distributed hydrologic model, 2009.

J. D. Creutin, H. Andrieu, and D. Faure, Use of a weather radar for the hydrology of a mountainous area. Part II: radar measurement validation, Journal of Hydrology, vol.193, issue.1-4, pp.26-44, 1997.

J. D. Creutin and M. Borga, Radar hydrology modifies the monitoring of flash-flood hazard, Hydrological Processes, vol.17, pp.1453-1456, 2003.

J. D. Creutin, M. Borga, C. Lutoff, A. Scolobig, I. Ruin et al., Catchment dynamics and social response during flash floods: the potential of radar rainfall monitoring for warning procedures, Meteorological Applications, vol.16, issue.1, pp.115-125, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00355543

J. D. Creutin, M. Borga, E. Gruntfest, C. Lutoff, D. Zoccatelli et al., A space and time framework for analyzing human anticipation of flash floods, Journal of Hydrology, vol.482, issue.2, pp.14-24, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01698829

C. W. Dawson, R. J. Abrahart, and L. M. See, HydroTest: A web-based toolbox of evaluation metrics for the standardised assessment of hydrological forecasts, Environmental modelling and software, vol.22, pp.1034-1052, 2007.

G. De-marsily, On the use of models in hydrology, Quelques reflexions sur l'utilisation des modeles en hydrologie, vol.7, pp.219-234, 1994.

C. De-saint-aubin and C. Viel, Ensemble streamflow forecasting over France: use of the system SIM. European Flood Alert System (EFAS): 4th annual user meeting, 2009.

D. Defrance, P. Javelle, P. Arnaud, V. Andréassian, E. Moreau et al., Flash flood warning methods: how to evaluate them? An application in the French Southern Alps using the AIGA warning method and different rainfall input data, EGU General Assembly, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01886079

D. Defrance, S. Ecrepont, P. Javelle, C. Fouchier, V. Andréassian et al., The « RHYTMME » project in mountainous aeras using X-band wheather radars: some preliminary results obtained for flash flood warning, 2012.

H. Delacour, A. Servonnet, A. Perrot, J. F. Vigezzi, and J. M. Ramirez, ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve: Principles and application in biology, Principes et principales applications en biologie clinique, vol.63, pp.145-154, 2005.

S. L. Desilets, T. P. Ferré, and B. Ekwurzel, Flash flood dynamics and composition in a semiarid mountain watershed, Water Resources Research, vol.44, issue.12, p.12436, 2008.

S. Diss, Apport de l'imagerie radar pour la connaissance spatio-temporelle des champs de pluie. Utilisation pour une modélisation prédictive des crues, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-02597509

D. Thèse-de, , vol.257

S. Diss, J. Testud, J. Lavabre, P. Ribstein, E. Moreau et al., Ability of a dual polarized X-band radar to estimate rainfall, Advances in Water Resources, vol.32, issue.7, pp.975-985, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02594890

S. Doocy, A. Daniels, S. Murray, and T. D. Kirsch, The Human Impact of Floods: A Historical Review of Events 1980-2009 and Systematic Literature Review, PLoS Currents, 2013.

Q. Duan, S. Sorooshian, and V. Gupta, Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models, Water Resources Research, vol.28, issue.4, pp.1015-1031, 1992.

, st e d ale te de ues en région montagneuse. IRSTEA, p.60

C. Edijatno and . Michel, Un modèle pluie-débit journalier à trois paramètres, La Houille Blanche, issue.2, pp.113-122, 1989.

. Edijatno, Mise au point d'un modèle élémentaire pluie-débit au pas de temps journalier, p.627, 1991.

D. Faure, G. Delrieu, P. Tabary, J. Parent-du, M. Chatelet et al., Application of the hydrologic visibility concept to estimate rainfall measurement quality of two planned weather radars, Atmospheric Research, vol.77, issue.1-4, pp.232-246, 2005.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00382115

L. Feyen, J. A. Vrugt, B. Ó. Nualláin, J. Van-der-knijff, and A. De-roo, Parameter optimisation and uncertainty assessment for large-scale streamflow simulation with the LISFLOOD model, Journal of Hydrology, vol.332, pp.276-289, 2007.

P. Fleury, J. C. Maréchal, and B. Ladouche, Karst flash-flood forecasting in the city of Nîmes (southern France), Engineering Geology, vol.164, pp.26-35, 2013.

N. Folton and P. , Utilisation des réanalyses SAFRAN pour la d&termination de la ressource en eau en zone de montagne, Hydrological sciences journal

C. Fouchier, Développement d'une méthodologie pour la connaissance régionale des crues, p.266, 2010.

E. Gaume, Ecole Nationale du Génie Rural des Eaux et des Forêt, Paris, p.359, 2002.

E. Gaume, M. Livet, M. Desbordes, and J. P. Villeneuve, Hydrological analysis of the river Aude, Journal of Hydrology, vol.286, issue.1-4, pp.135-154, 1999.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00711681

E. Gaume, V. Bain, P. Bernardara, O. Newinger, M. Barbuc et al., A compilation of data on European flash floods, Journal of Hydrology, vol.367, issue.1-2, pp.70-78, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00400570

E. Gaume and M. Borga, Etat des connaissances récentes acquises sur les crues éclair en Europe : bilan du projet de recherches européen HYDRATE, pp.24-30, 2006.

K. P. Georgakakos, Analytical results for operational flash flood guidance, Journal of Hydrology, vol.317, issue.1-2, pp.81-103, 2006.

M. Gos-a-i, K. M. Co-o-a-d, and K. P. Bhatta-ai, De elop e t of egio alisatio p o edu es usi g a ultimodel approach for flow simulation in an ungauged catchment, Journal of Hydrology, vol.333, issue.2-4, pp.517-531

F. Gottardi, Estimation statistique et réanalyse des précipitations en montagne: Utilisation d'ébauches par types de temps et assimilation de données d'enneigement. Application aux grands massifs montagneux français, 2009.

J. J. Gourley, J. M. Erlingis, T. M. Smith, K. L. Ortega, and Y. Hong, Remote collection and analysis of witness reports on flash floods, Journal of Hydrology, vol.394, issue.1-2, pp.53-62, 2010.

J. J. Gourley, J. M. Erlingis, Y. Hong, and E. B. Wells, Evaluation of Tools Used for Monitoring and Forecasting Flash Floods in the United States, Weather and Forecasting, vol.27, issue.1, pp.158-173, 2011.

J. J. Gourley, Y. Hong, Z. L. Flamig, A. Arthur, R. Clark et al., A Unified Flash Flood Database across the United States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol.94, issue.6, pp.799-805, 2013.

A. Guillot, Détermination des bassins versants français influencés par la présence de zones karstiques, 2013.

H. A. Hapuarachchi, Q. J. Wang, and T. C. Pagano, A review of advances in flash flood forecasting, Hydrological Processes, vol.25, pp.2771-2784, 2011.

R. W. Herschy, The world's maximum observed floods, Flow Measurement and Instrumentation, vol.13, pp.231-235, 2002.

B. Hingray, C. Picouet, and A. Musy, Hydrologie. Tome 2, Une science pour l'ingénieur, PRESSES POLYTECHNIQUES ET UNIVERSITAIRES ROMANDES, 2009.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00499467

B. Hingray, J. Dedieu, T. Lebel, C. Obled, J. Sicart et al., Observations glaciologiques et hydrométéorologiques en zone de montagne : quelques problématiques et perspectives actuelles, La Houille Blanche, issue.2, pp.5-11, 2012.

R. Hock, Temperature index melt modelling in mountain areas, Journal of Hydrology, vol.282, issue.1-4, pp.104-115, 2003.

M. Hrachowitz, H. H. Savenije, G. Blöschl, J. J. Mcdonnell, M. Sivapalan et al., A decade of Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB)-a review, Hydrological sciences journal, vol.58, issue.6, pp.1198-1255, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01209127

P. Javelle, L. Berthet, P. Arnaud, J. Lavabre, and C. Perrin, Comparaison de deux versions du modèle GR pour la prévision des crues sur un grand échantillon de bassins versants français. Colloque SHF-191e CST «Prévisions hydrométéorologiques, 2008.

P. Ja-elle,

. I-itialisatio-d'aiga,

P. Javelle, D. Defrance, S. Diss, M. Tolsa, P. Arnaud et al., Application of the AIGA flash flood warning method to the 14th, 2010.

P. Javelle, C. Fouchier, P. Arnaud, and J. Lavabre, Flash flood warning at ungauged locations using radar rainfall and antecedent soil moisture estimations, Journal of Hydrology, vol.394, issue.1-2, pp.267-274, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02595128

P. Javelle, D. Defrance, S. Ecrepont, C. Fouchier, P. Mériaux et al., Flash flood warning in mountaineous areas using X-band weather radars and the AIGA method in the framework of the RHYTMME project, EGU General Assembly, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02606044

P. Javelle, J. Demargne, D. Defrance, J. Pansu, and P. Arnaud, Evaluating flash flood warnings at ungauged locations using post-event survey: a case study with the AIGA warning system, 2013.

P. Javelle, J. Demargne, D. Defrance, J. Pansu, and P. Arnaud, Evaluating flash flood warnings at ungauged locations using post-event survey: a case study with the AIGA warning system

S. N. Jonkman and J. K. Vrijling, Loss of life due to floods, Journal of Flood Risk Management, vol.1, issue.1, pp.43-56, 2008.

V. Klemes, Operational testing of hydrological simulation models, Hydrological Sciences Journal/Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques, vol.31, issue.1, pp.13-24, 1986.

V. Klemes, The modelling of mountain hydrology : the ultimate challenge. Wallingford, ROYAUME-UNI, 1990.

F. Kobierska, T. Jonas, M. Zappa, M. Bavay, J. Magnusson et al., Future runoff from a partly glacierized watershed in Central Switzerland: A two-model approach, Advances in Water Resources, vol.55, pp.204-214, 2013.

R. Krzysztofowicz, Performance tradeoff characteristic of a flood warning system, Water Resources Bulletin, vol.28, issue.1, pp.193-200, 1992.

J. Lavabre and Y. Gregoris, AIGA: A flood forecasting tool. Application to the French Mediterranean region, 2006.

N. Le-moine, C. V.-andréassian, C. Perrin, and . Michel, How can rainfall-runoff models handle intercatchment groundwater flows? Theoretical study based on 1040 French catchments, Water Resources Research, vol.43, issue.6, p.6428, 2007.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02589510

C. Lefrou, X. Martin, J. Labarthe, J. Varret, B. Mazière et al., Les crues des 12, 13 et 14 novembre 1999 dans les départements de l, Les inondations des et Nove e 999 da s l'Aude et les, 2000.

C. Lepore, E. Arnone, L. V. Noto, G. Sivandran, and R. L. Bras, Physically based modeling of rainfall-triggered landslides: a case study in the Luquillo forest, Puerto Rico, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.17, issue.9, pp.3371-3387, 2013.

K. Liechti, L. Panziera, U. Germann, and M. Zappa, Flash-flood early warning using weather radar data: from nowcasting to forecasting, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss, vol.10, issue.1, pp.1289-1331, 2013.

C. Llasat, M. Llasat-botija, O. Petrucci, A. A. Pasqua, J. Rossello et al., Floods in the northwestern Mediterranean region: Presentation of the HYMEX database and comparison with pre-existing global databases, Houille Blanche, issue.1, pp.5-9, 2013.

M. Llasat, A. Atencia, L. Garrote, and L. Mediero, The Hydrometeorological Forecasting in the Framework of the European Project Flash, La Houille Blanche, issue.6, pp.66-71, 2009.

F. Lobligeois, Utilisation de la réanalyse des lame d'eau radar pour la simulation des crues à l'échelle nationale. IRSTEA

Z. Makhlouf, Compléments sur le modèle pluie-débit GR4J et essai d'estimation de ses paramètres, p.426, 1994.

A. Manzato, An Odds Ratio Parameterization for ROC Diagram and Skill Score Indices, Weather and Forecasting, vol.20, issue.6, pp.918-930, 2005.

L. Marchi, M. Borga, E. Preciso, and E. Gaume, Characterisation of selected extreme flash floods in Europe and implications for flood risk management, Journal of Hydrology, vol.394, issue.1-2, pp.118-133, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00575174

. Margat, Carte hydrogéologique de la France : Systèmes aquifères. C. BRGM, 1978.

C. Martin, Les inondations du 15 juin 2010 dans le Centre Var : réflexion sur un épisode exceptionnel, 2010.

E. Martin, G. Thirel, F. Regimbeau, J. Noilhan, L. Franchisteguy et al., Vers une prévision d'ensemble des débits à l'échelle des grands bassins français, La Houille Blanche, issue.5, pp.88-94, 2009.

I. B. Mason, A model for the assessment of weather forecasts, vol.30, pp.291-303, 1982.

T. Mathevet, Quels modèles pluie-débit globaux au pas de temps horaire ? Développements empiriques et comparaison de modèles sur un large échantillon de bassins versants, p.463, 2005.

T. Mathevet, C. Michel, V. Andréassian, and C. Perrin, A bounded version of the Nash-Sutcliffe criterion for better model assessment on large sets of basins, 2006.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02588691

P. Mériaux, S. Westrelin, J. L. Chèze, P. Tabary, P. Javelle et al., Projet RHYTMME : déploiement d'un réseau de radars dédié à la Gestion des risques en territoires montagneux méditerranéens. L'eau en montagne, mieux observer pour mieux prévoir, 2011.

R. Merz and G. Blöschl, A process typology of regional floods, Water Resources Research, vol.39, issue.12, pp.51-520, 2003.

. Météo-france, 29/11/2012), 2013.

. Météo-france, Nivôse, un réseau neige pour la haute montagne, 2013.

M. Ist-e-de-l-É-ologie and D. D. , des T a spo ts et du Loge e t . Pla su e sio s apides. Submersions marines, crues soudaines et ruptures de digues: 79 p

V. Montesarchio, F. Lombardo, and F. Napolitano, Rainfall thresholds and flood warning: an operative case study, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci, vol.9, issue.1, pp.135-144, 2009.

N. Nascimento, Appréciation à l'aide d'un modèle empirique des effets d'action anthropiques sur la relation pluie-débit à l'échelle du bassin versant. Cemagref (Antony), vol.550, 1995.

J. E. Nash and J. V. Sutcliffe, River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I --A discussion of principles, Journal of Hydrology, vol.10, issue.3, pp.282-290, 1970.

S. H. Nassif and E. M. Wilson, THE INFLUENCE OF SLOPE AND RAIN INTENSITY ON RUNOFF AND INFILTRATION / L'influence de l'inclinaison de terrain et de l'intensité de pluie sur l'écoulement et l'infiltration, Hydrological Sciences Bulletin, vol.20, issue.4, pp.539-553, 1975.

J. P. Naulin, O. Payrastre, and E. Gaume, Spatially distributed flood forecasting in flash flood prone areas: Application to road network supervision in Southern France, Journal of Hydrology, vol.486, pp.88-99, 2013.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00851172

T. Nester, R. Kirnbauer, J. Parajka, and G. Blöschl, Evaluating the snow component of a flood forecasting model, Hydrology Research, vol.43, issue.6, pp.762-779, 2012.

E. I. Nikolopoulos, E. N. Anagnostou, M. Borga, E. R. Vivoni, and A. Papadopoulos, Sensitivity of a mountain basin flash flood to initial wetness condition and rainfall variability, Journal of Hydrology, vol.402, pp.165-178, 2011.

D. Norbiato, M. Borga, S. Esposti, E. Gaume, and S. Anquetin, Flash flood warning based on rainfall thresholds and soil moisture conditions: An assessment for gauged and ungauged basins, Journal of Hydrology, vol.362, pp.274-290, 2008.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00389060

D. Organde, P. Arnaud, J. A. Fine, C. Fouchier, N. Folton et al., Régionalisation d'une méthode de prédétermination de crue sur l'ensemble du territoire français: La méthode SHYREG, vol.26, pp.65-78, 2013.

K. L. Ortega, T. M. Smith, K. L. Manross, A. G. Kolodziej, K. A. Scharfenberg et al., The Severe Hazards Analysis and Verification Experiment, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol.90, issue.10, pp.1519-1530, 2009.

T. B. Ouarda, C. Girard, G. S. Cavadias, and B. Bobée, Regional flood frequency estimation with canonical correlation analysis, Journal of Hydrology, vol.254, issue.1-4, pp.157-173, 2001.

L. Oudin, F. Hervieu, C. Michel, C. Perrin, V. Andréassian et al., Which potential evapotranspiration input for a lumped rainfall-runoff model?: Part 2-Towards a simple and efficient potential evapotranspiration model for rainfall-runoff modelling, Journal of Hydrology, vol.303, issue.1-4, pp.290-306, 2005.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02584170

L. Oudin, Une formule simple d'évapotranspiration potentielle pour la modélisation pluie-débit à l'échelle du bassin versant, Houille Blanche, issue.6, pp.113-120, 2006.

L. Oudin, C. Perrin, T. Mathevet, V. Andréassian, and C. Michel, Impact of biased and randomly corrupted inputs on the efficiency and the parameters of watershed models, Journal of Hydrology, vol.320, issue.1-2, pp.62-83, 2006.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02587563

L. Oudin, C. V.-andreassian, C. Perrin, N. Michel, and . Le-moine, Spatial proximity, physical similarity, regression and ungaged catchments: A comparison of regionalization approaches based on 913 French catchments, Water Resources Research, vol.44, issue.3, p.3413, 2008.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02590551

L. Oudin, A. Kay, V. Andréassian, and C. Perrin, Are seemingly physically similar catchments truly hydrologically similar?, Water Resour. Res., AGU, vol.46, p.11558, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02594598

T. N. Palmer, J. Barkmeijet, B. R. , E. Klinker, and D. Richardson, L'avenir de la prévision d'ensemble, La Météorologie, vol.6, issue.36, p.p, 2002.

M. N. Papa, V. Medina, F. Ciervo, and A. Bateman, Derivation of critical rainfall thresholds for shallow landslides as a tool for debris flow early warning systems, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.17, issue.10, pp.4095-4107, 2013.

J. Parajka, R. Merz, and G. Blöschl, A comparison of regionalisation methods for catchment model parameters, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.9, issue.3, pp.157-171, 2005.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00304814

J. Parajka, G. Blöschl, and R. Merz, Regional calibration of catchment models: Potential for ungauged catchments, Water Resources Research, vol.43, issue.6, p.6406, 2007.

J. Parajka, A. Viglione, M. Rogger, J. L. Salinas, M. Sivapalan et al., Comparative assessment of predictions in ungauged basins-Part 1: Runoff-hydrograph studies, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol.17, issue.5, pp.1783-1795, 2013.

J. Parent-du-chatelet, Aramis, le réseau français de radars pour la surveillance des précipitations, La Météorologie, vol.8, issue.40, pp.44-52, 2003.

S. Patil and M. Stieglitz, Controls on hydrologic similarity: role of nearby gauged catchments for prediction at an ungauged catchment, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.16, issue.2, pp.551-562, 2012.

J. E. Paturel, E. Servat, and A. Vassiliadis, Sensitivity of conceptual rainfall-runoff algorithms to errors in input data --case of the GR2M model, Journal of Hydrology, vol.168, issue.1-4, pp.111-125, 1995.

O. Payrastre, E. Gaume, H. Andrieu-;-pe-et, C. , A. Hauet et al., Usefulness of historical information for flood frequency analyses: Developments based on a case study, Water Resour. Res, vol.47, issue.8, pp.18-25, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00905999

C. Perrin, Vers une amélioration d'un modèle global pluie, 2000.

C. Perrin, Vers une amélioration d'un modèle global pluie-débit au travers d'une approche comparative, La Houille, pp.84-91, 2002.

C. Perrin, C. Michel, and V. Andréassian, Improvement of a parsimonious model for streamflow simulation, Journal of Hydrology, vol.279, issue.1-4, pp.275-289, 2003.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02581740

C. Perrin, L. Oudin, V. Andreassian, C. Rojas-serna, C. Michel et al., Impact of limited streamflow data on the efficiency and the parameters of rainfall-runoff models, Hydrological sciences journal, vol.52, issue.1, pp.131-151, 2007.

P. Quintana-seguí, P. Le-moigne, Y. Durand, E. Martin, F. Habets et al., Analysis of Near-Surface Atmospheric Variables: Validation of the SAFRAN Analysis over France, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol.47, issue.1, pp.92-107, 2008.

M. H. Ramos, J. Thielen, and F. Pappenberger, Utilisation de la prévision météorologique d'ensemble pour la prévision hydrologique opérationnelle et l'alerte aux crues. SHF Colloque Prévisions hydrométéorologiques, 2008.

M. H. Ramos, J. Thielen, and A. De-roo, Prévision hydrologique d'ensemble et alerte avec le Système européen d'alerte aux crues (EFAS) : cas des crues du bassin du Danube en août, 2005.

A. Randrianasolo, M. H. Ramos, and V. Andréassian, Hydrological ensemble forecasting at ungauged basins: using neighbour catchments for model setup and updating, Adv. Geosci, vol.29, pp.1-11, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02594771

A. Randrianasolo, Généralisation de l'approche d'ensemble à la prévision hydrologique dans les bassins versants non jaugés: 314 p, 2012.

S. Reed, D. Johnson, and T. Sweeney, Application and national georgraphic information system database to support two-year flood and threshold runoff estimates, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, vol.7, issue.3, pp.209-219, 2002.

S. Reed, J. Schaake, and Z. Zhang, A distributed hydrologic model and threshold frequency-based method for flash flood forecasting at ungauged locations, Journal of Hydrology, vol.337, pp.402-420, 2007.

M. Rico, G. Benito, and A. Barnolas, Combined palaeoflood and rainfall-runoff assessment of mountain floods (Spanish Pyrenees), Journal of Hydrology, vol.245, issue.1-4, pp.59-72, 2001.

M. Roche, Méthodes de calcul des crues brutales -réseaux d'observation, leur exploitation et collecte des données, Bulletin des sciences hydrologiques, vol.20, issue.1, pp.13-34, 1975.

C. Rojas-serna, C. Michel, C. Perrin, and V. Andréassian, Ungauged catchments: How make the most of a few streamflow measurements?, 2006.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02588693

H. Roux, D. Labat, P. A. Garambois, M. M. Maubourguet, J. Chorda et al., A physically-based parsimonious hydrological model for flash floods in Mediterranean catchments, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci, vol.11, issue.9, pp.2567-2582, 2011.

M. Rouzeau, X. Martin, and J. Pauc, Retour d'expérience des inondations survenues dans le département du Var les 15 et 16 juin 2010. Inspection générale de l'environnement, 2010.

I. Ruin, S. J.-d.-creutin, C. Anquetin, and . Lutoff, Human exposure to flash floods -Relation between flood parameters and human vulnerability during a storm of, Journal of Hydrology, vol.361, issue.1-2, pp.199-213, 2002.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01698836

I. Ruin, B. Boudevillain, J. D. Creutin, and C. Lutoff, Toward a space-time scale framework for the study of everyday life activity's adaptation to hazardous hydro-meteorological conditions: Learning from the June 15th, 2010 flash flood event in Draguignan (France), 2013.

V. Ruiz-villanueva, M. Borga, D. Zoccatelli, L. Marchi, E. Gaume et al., Extreme flood response to short-duration convective rainfall in South-West Germany, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, vol.16, issue.5, pp.1543-1559, 2012.

E. Sauquet, Cartographie des écoulements mensuels moyens en France, 2006.

J. T. Schaefer, The critical success index as an indicator of warning skill, Wea. Forecasting, vol.5, pp.570-575, 1990.

J. Seibert and K. J. Beven, Gauging the ungauged basin: How many discharge measurements are needed, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol.13, issue.6, pp.883-892, 2009.

S. K. Singh and A. Bárdossy, Calibration of hydrological models on hydrologically unusual events, Advances in Water Resources, vol.38, issue.0, pp.81-91, 2012.

M. Sivapalan, K. Takeuchi, S. Franks, V. Gupta, H. Karambiri et al., 2003-2012: shaping an exciting future for the hydrological sciences, IAHS decade on predictions in ungauged basins (PUB), vol.48, pp.857-880, 2003.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00711790

M. Spreafico, Flash floods in mountain areas. Climate variability and change : hydrological impacts, vol.308, pp.232-238, 2006.

J. Sui and G. Koehler, Rain-on-snow induced flood events in Southern Germany, Journal of Hydrology, vol.252, issue.1-4, pp.205-220, 2001.

J. A. Swets, The relative operating characteristic in psychology, Science, vol.182, issue.4116, pp.990-1000, 1973.

P. Tabary, The New French Operational Radar Rainfall Product. Part I: Methodology, Weather and Forecasting, vol.22, issue.3, pp.393-408, 2007.

P. Tabary, J. Desplats, K. Khac, F. Eideliman, C. Gueguen et al., The New French Operational Radar Rainfall Product. Part II: Validation, Weather and Forecasting, vol.22, issue.3, pp.409-427, 2007.

P. Ta-a, P. Dupu, G. He-aff, C. Guegue, L. Mouli et al., Lau a ti a d C. Me lie . A 10-year (1997-2006) reanalysis of Quantitative Precipitation Estimation over France: methodology and first results

J. Tao and A. P. Barros, Prospects for flash flood forecasting in mountainous regions -An investigation of Tropical Storm Fay in the Southern Appalachians, Journal of Hydrology, vol.506, issue.0, pp.69-89, 2013.

J. Tao and A. P. Barros, Coupled prediction of flood response and debris flow initiation during warm and cold season events in the Southern Appalachians, USA, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss, vol.10, issue.7, pp.8365-8419, 2013.

J. Thielen-del-pozo, Learning from the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) to develop European Flash Flood Early Warning capacities. IMPRINTS final workshop, 2012.

Y. Tramblay, C. Bouvier, P. A. Ayral, and A. Marchandise, Impact of rainfall spatial distribution on rainfallrunoff modelling efficiency and initial soil moisture conditions estimation, Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, vol.11, issue.1, pp.157-170, 2011.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02414967

Y. Tramblay, R. Bouaicha, L. Brocca, W. Dorigo, C. Bouvier et al., Estimation of antecedent wetness conditions for flood modelling in northern Morocco, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol.16, issue.11, pp.4375-4386, 2012.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02414970

A. Valéry, Modélisation précipitations -débit sous influence nivale. Élaboration d'un module neige et évaluation sur 380 bassins versants. Cemagref (Antony), p.405, 2010.

P. Versini, E. Gaume, and H. Andrieu, Simulations hydrométéorologiques distribuées et prévision des coupures de routes dans le gard, La Houille Blanche, issue.6, pp.72-75, 2009.

P. A. Versini, E. Gaume, and H. Andrieu, Application of a distributed hydrological model to the design of a road inundation warning system for flash flood prone areas, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci, vol.10, issue.4, pp.805-817, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00807775

P. A. Versini, Use of radar rainfall estimates and forecasts to prevent flash flood in real time by using a road inundation warning system, Journal of Hydrology, pp.157-170, 2012.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00806300

J. P. Vidal, E. Martin, L. Franchistéguy, M. Baillon, and J. M. Soubeyroux, A 50-year high-resolution atmospheric reanalysis over France with the Safran system, International Journal of Climatology, vol.30, issue.11, pp.1627-1644, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/meteo-00420845

D. Viviroli, H. Mittelbach, J. Gurtz, and R. Weingartner, Continuous simulation for flood estimation in ungauged mesoscale catchments of Switzerland -Part II: Parameter regionalisation and flood estimation results, Journal of Hydrology, vol.377, issue.1-2, pp.208-225, 2009.

J. G. Wasson, A. Chandesris, H. Pella, and Y. Souchon, Définition des hydroécorégions françaises. Méthodologie de détermination des conditions de référence au sens de la Directive Cadre pour la gestion des eaux, 2001.

. Wikipedia, 23/09/2013), 2013.

. Wikipedia, Corine Land Cover, 2013.

T. Yamakoshi, Y. Nakano, T. Ishizuka, K. Tamura, and Y. Hasegawa, Time Sequence on the Flash Flood Disaster in the Tsurugi River, Hofu City, Japan. EGU General Assembly, 2012.

J. Younis, S. Anquetin, and J. Thielen, The benefit of high-resolution operational weather forecasts for flash flood warning, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol.12, issue.4, pp.1039-1051, 2008.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00330816

F. Zanon, M. Borga, D. Zoccatelli, L. Marchi, E. Gaume et al., Hydrological analysis of a flash flood across a climatic and geologic gradient: The September 18, 2007 event in Western Slovenia, Journal of Hydrology, vol.394, issue.1-2, pp.182-197, 2010.
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00562709

D. Zoccatelli, M. Borga, F. Zanon, B. Antonescu, and G. Stancalie, Which rainfall spatial information for flash flood response modelling? A numerical investigation based on data from the Carpathian range, Romania, Journal of Hydrology, vol.394, issue.1-2, pp.148-161, 2010.