Rapid and highly variable warming of lake surface waters around the globe
Catherine M. O'Reilly
(1)
,
Sapna Sharma
(2)
,
Derek K. Gray
(3)
,
Stephanie E. Hampton
(4)
,
Jordan S. Read
(5)
,
Rex J. Rowley
(1)
,
Philipp Schneider
(6)
,
John D. Lenters
,
Peter B. Mcintyre
(7)
,
Benjamin M. Kraemer
(7)
,
Gesa A Weyhenmeyer
(8)
,
Dietmar Straile
(9)
,
Bo Dong
(10)
,
Rita Adrian
(11)
,
Mathew G. Allan
(12)
,
Orlane Anneville
(13)
,
Lauri Arvola
(14)
,
Jay Austin
(15)
,
John L. Bailey
(16)
,
Jill S. Baron
(17)
,
Justin D. Brookes
(18)
,
Elvira de Eyto
(19)
,
Martin T. Dokulil
(20)
,
David Hamilton
(12)
,
Karl Havens
(21)
,
Amy L Hetherington
(22)
,
Scott N Higgins
(23)
,
Simon Hook
(24)
,
Lyubov R Izmest’eva
(25)
,
Klaus D. Joehnk
(26)
,
Külli Kangur
(27)
,
Peter Kasprzak
(28)
,
Michio Kumagai
(29)
,
Esko Kuusisto
(30)
,
George Leshkevich
(31)
,
David M. Livingstone
(32)
,
Sally Macintyre
(33)
,
Linda May
(34)
,
John M. Melack
(35)
,
Doerthe C. Mueller-Navarra
(36)
,
Mikhail Naumenko
(37)
,
Peter Nöges
(27)
,
Tiina Noges
(27)
,
Ryan P North
(38)
,
Pierre-Denis Plisnier
(39)
,
Anna Rigosi
(18)
,
Alon Rimmer
(40)
,
Michela Rogora
(41)
,
Lars Rudstam
(22)
,
James A Rusak
(42)
,
Nico Salmaso
(43)
,
Nihar R Samal
(44)
,
Daniel Schindler
(45)
,
Geoffrey Schladow
(46)
,
Martin Schmid
(32)
,
Silke R. Schmidt
(28)
,
Eugene A Silow
(25)
,
M. Evren Soylu
(47)
,
Katrin Teubner
(48)
,
Piet Verburg
(49)
,
Ari Voutilainen
(50)
,
Andrew Watkinson
(51)
,
Craig E Williamson
(52)
,
Guoqing Zhang
(53)
1
Department of Geography & Geology
2 York University
3 California University of Pennsylvania
4 Center for Environmental Research, Education and Outreach
5 USGS - United States Geological Survey
6 NILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research
7 Center for Limnology
8 Uppsala University
9 University of Konstanz
10 University at Albany [SUNY]
11 Department of Ecosystem Research
12 University of Waikato
13 CARRTEL - Centre Alpin de Recherche sur les Réseaux Trophiques et Ecosystèmes Limniques
14 LBS - Lammi Biological Station
15 Large Lakes Observatory
16 Laurentian University
17 CSU - Colorado State University [Fort Collins]
18 University of Adelaide
19 Fisheries Ecosystem Advisory Services
20 Leopold Franzens Universität Innsbruck - University of Innsbruck
21 UF - University of Florida [Gainesville]
22 Department of Natural Resources
23 IISD - International Institute for Sustainable Development
24 CALTECH - California Institute of Technology
25 ISU - Irkutsk State University
26 Land and Water Flagship
27 EMU - Estonian University of Life Sciences
28 IGB - Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries
29 Ritsumeikan University
30 SYKE - Finnish Environment Institute
31 NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
32 EAWAG - Swiss Federal Insitute of Aquatic Science and Technology [Dübendorf]
33 UC Santa Barbara - University of California [Santa Barbara]
34 NERC - Natural Environment Research Council
35 Bren School of Environmental Science & Management
36 University of Hamburg
37 RAS - Russian Academy of Sciences [Moscow]
38 HZB - Helmholtz-Zentrum Berlin für Materialien und Energie GmbH = Helmholtz Centre Berlin for Materials and Energy = Centre Helmholtz de Berlin pour les matériaux et l'énergie
39 RMCA - Royal Museum for Central Africa [Tervuren]
40 IOLR - Israel Oceanographic and Limnological Research
41 CNR - National Research Council of Italy | Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche
42 Dorset Environmental Science Centre
43 IASMA Research Center
44 UNH - University of New Hampshire
45 University of Washington [Seattle]
46 UC Davis - University of California [Davis]
47 Meliksah University
48 University of Vienna [Vienna]
49 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Wellington]
50 Department of Biology
51 Seqwater
52 University of Miami
53 CAS - Chinese Academy of Sciences
2 York University
3 California University of Pennsylvania
4 Center for Environmental Research, Education and Outreach
5 USGS - United States Geological Survey
6 NILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research
7 Center for Limnology
8 Uppsala University
9 University of Konstanz
10 University at Albany [SUNY]
11 Department of Ecosystem Research
12 University of Waikato
13 CARRTEL - Centre Alpin de Recherche sur les Réseaux Trophiques et Ecosystèmes Limniques
14 LBS - Lammi Biological Station
15 Large Lakes Observatory
16 Laurentian University
17 CSU - Colorado State University [Fort Collins]
18 University of Adelaide
19 Fisheries Ecosystem Advisory Services
20 Leopold Franzens Universität Innsbruck - University of Innsbruck
21 UF - University of Florida [Gainesville]
22 Department of Natural Resources
23 IISD - International Institute for Sustainable Development
24 CALTECH - California Institute of Technology
25 ISU - Irkutsk State University
26 Land and Water Flagship
27 EMU - Estonian University of Life Sciences
28 IGB - Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries
29 Ritsumeikan University
30 SYKE - Finnish Environment Institute
31 NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
32 EAWAG - Swiss Federal Insitute of Aquatic Science and Technology [Dübendorf]
33 UC Santa Barbara - University of California [Santa Barbara]
34 NERC - Natural Environment Research Council
35 Bren School of Environmental Science & Management
36 University of Hamburg
37 RAS - Russian Academy of Sciences [Moscow]
38 HZB - Helmholtz-Zentrum Berlin für Materialien und Energie GmbH = Helmholtz Centre Berlin for Materials and Energy = Centre Helmholtz de Berlin pour les matériaux et l'énergie
39 RMCA - Royal Museum for Central Africa [Tervuren]
40 IOLR - Israel Oceanographic and Limnological Research
41 CNR - National Research Council of Italy | Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche
42 Dorset Environmental Science Centre
43 IASMA Research Center
44 UNH - University of New Hampshire
45 University of Washington [Seattle]
46 UC Davis - University of California [Davis]
47 Meliksah University
48 University of Vienna [Vienna]
49 NIWA - National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research [Wellington]
50 Department of Biology
51 Seqwater
52 University of Miami
53 CAS - Chinese Academy of Sciences
Philipp Schneider
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 801009
- ORCID : 0000-0001-5686-8683
John D. Lenters
- Fonction : Auteur
Dietmar Straile
- Fonction : Auteur
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- ORCID : 0000-0002-7441-8552
- IdRef : 23592945X
Rita Adrian
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 792005
- ORCID : 0000-0002-6318-7189
David Hamilton
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 794451
- ORCID : 0000-0002-9341-8777
- IdRef : 060402024
Alon Rimmer
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 801011
- ORCID : 0000-0003-1291-6975
Michela Rogora
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 784347
- ORCID : 0000-0003-3515-0220
Lars Rudstam
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 792738
- ORCID : 0000-0002-3732-6368
Nico Salmaso
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 774114
- ORCID : 0000-0001-6057-3642
- IdRef : 224197568
Piet Verburg
- Fonction : Auteur
- PersonId : 800149
- ORCID : 0000-0001-7574-9161
Résumé
In this first worldwide synthesis of in situ and satellite-derived lake data, we find that lake summer surface water temperatures rose rapidly (global mean=0.34 degrees C decade(-1)) between 1985 and 2009. Our analyses show that surface water warming rates are dependent on combinations of climate and local characteristics, rather than just lake location, leading to the counterintuitive result that regional consistency in lake warming is the exception, rather than the rule. The most rapidly warming lakes are widely geographically distributed, and their warming is associated with interactions among different climatic factorsfrom seasonally ice-covered lakes in areas where temperature and solar radiation are increasing while cloud cover is diminishing (0.72 degrees C decade(-1)) to ice-free lakes experiencing increases in air temperature and solar radiation (0.53 degrees C decade(-1)). The pervasive and rapid warming observed here signals the urgent need to incorporate climate impacts into vulnerability assessments and adaptation efforts for lakes.