The “news view” of economic fluctuations: evidence from aggregate Japanese data and sectoral US data - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement
Article Dans Une Revue Journal of the Japanese and International Economies Année : 2005

The “news view” of economic fluctuations: evidence from aggregate Japanese data and sectoral US data

Résumé

This paper uses aggregate Japanese data and sectoral US data to explore the properties of the joint behavior of stock prices and total factor productivity (TFP) with the aim of highlighting data patterns that are useful for evaluating business cycle theories. The approach used follows that presented in Beaudry and Portier [2004b]. The main findings are that (i) in both Japan and the US, innovations in stock prices that are contemporaneously orthogonal to TFP precede most of the long run movements in total factor productivity and (ii) such stock prices innovations do not affect US sectoral TFPs contemporaneously, but do precede TFP increases in those sectors that are driving US TFP growth, namely durable goods, and among them equipment sectors.

Dates et versions

hal-02680677 , version 1 (31-05-2020)

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Citer

Paul Beaudry, Franck Portier. The “news view” of economic fluctuations: evidence from aggregate Japanese data and sectoral US data. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2005, 19 (4), pp.635-652. ⟨10.1016/j.jjie.2005.10.004⟩. ⟨hal-02680677⟩
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