An agroecological Europe by 2050: What impact on land use, trade and global food security?
Résumé
This report presents the key results of a research that analysed the implications of an ambitious agroecological transition across Europe, following the TYFA scenario (scenario Ten Years For Agroecology proposed by IDDRI in 2018). While this scenario was published three years ago, what it proposes by 2050 is fully aligned with the objectives that the European Farm to Fork (F2F) and Biodiversity strategies aim to achieve by 2030. Using a world biomass balance model (GlobAgri-AgT, developed for the Inra-Cirad foresight Agrimonde-Terra, 2018), the impact of the TYFA scenario in the EU on world land use, the EU physical trade balance, the provision of calories and global food security was analyzed in addition to key policy levers to spur the transition.