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Socio-economic characteristics of case study sites (regions and laus) and alternative scenarios for multifunctional land use activities on national and regional scales. Deliverable n° D1.3

Abstract : The report gives an overview over the methodological approach used in the PRIMA project for the development of alternative scenarios. Scenarios focus on policy changes and possible results/outputs of EU policy implementation on regional and local (LAU) level. In a first step a social economic analysis is implemented in each case study and bears on 5 domains: general characteristics, demographic trends, economic system, transport and environment. In a second step, and after identification of main driving forces, four scenarios are proposed and characterized: - Baseline scenario: The baseline scenario is defined to analyse a base situation without additional intervention and different alternative options for intervention, i.e. the introduction of new measures in agriculture, forestry, tourism, and environment. The baseline scenario is a projection of the status quo or business as usual, including the existing framework in terms of agricultural and environmental policies, technological and market conditions, and the projection of technological trends and of decided policy changes to be implemented until the target year 2013. - Environment' scenario: This scenario is built on the assumption that measures for landscape, natural and cultural heritage preservation will be leading. Having in mind importance of environment issue in global aspect, it is assumed that environment policy will be more closely linked to rural development and more specifically to multifunctional land use activities. Thus, changes in the policy priorities on EU level are expected - Rural development' scenario: Rural Development Policy will have a leading role in the next planning period (2014-2020). Sustainable rural development will be achieved through: increasing competitiveness of agriculture and forestry; improving land management; implementing complex measures for environment protection and preservation, wider rural economy through new agricultural and non-agricultural activities; increasing the role of local initiative groups in regional and local decision making process. - Infrastructure & Competitiveness' scenario: This scenario assumes widened and enriched policy measures in Cohesion Policy. This scenario is developed on the assumption that Cohesion policy will have leading role on national and regional level. New objectives and measures will be elaborated aiming increasing of competitiveness of SMEs, development of favourable business conditions, improving quality of human resources, increasing capacity of local/regional branch organizations, construction of relevant new infrastructure and restoration of the existing. Scenarios will be used as a starting point in modeling in PRIMA specific workpackages.
Mots-clés : PRIMA EUROPE
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Diana Kopeva, K. Brscic, A. Dobruchowski, R. Franic, G. Garrod, et al.. Socio-economic characteristics of case study sites (regions and laus) and alternative scenarios for multifunctional land use activities on national and regional scales. Deliverable n° D1.3. irstea. 2010, pp.172. ⟨hal-02595422⟩

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