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Article Dans Une Revue Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control Année : 2012

Cycles in nonrenewable resource prices with pollution and learning-by-doing

Résumé

We study how environmental regulation in the form of a cap on aggregate emissions from a fossil fuel (e.g., coal) interacts with the arrival of a clean substitute (e.g., solar energy). The cost of the substitute is assumed to decrease with cumulative use because of learning-by-doing. We show that optimal energy prices may initially increase because of pollution regulation, but fall due to learning, and rise again because of scarcity of the resource, finally falling after transition to the clean substitute. Thus nonrenewable resource prices may exhibit cyclical behavior even in a purely deterministic setting.

Dates et versions

hal-02649062 , version 1 (29-05-2020)

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Ujjayant Chakravorty, Andrew Leach, Michel Moreaux. Cycles in nonrenewable resource prices with pollution and learning-by-doing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, 36 (10), pp.1448-1461. ⟨10.1016/j.jedc.2012.04.005⟩. ⟨hal-02649062⟩
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