Quantitative approach to assess farming system resilience to climate change uncertainty - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Poster De Conférence Année : 2010

Quantitative approach to assess farming system resilience to climate change uncertainty

Résumé

Assessing the resilience of farming system to climate change through their cropping system dive rsity and socio - economic context is an important challenge for policy makers in the Mediterranean region. In fact, decision - makers are often confronted to contradictory demands when it comes to developing projects to foster suitable strategies of less resi lient farms. This paper aims at developing and using a multi - scale quantitative approach for assessing, at short and long - term, the impacts of climate change on farm resilience behavior and various socio - economic and environmental indicators. Two scenarios , the business as usual and climate change, with a time horizon of 2030, have been developed and compared for representative farming system in northern Tunisia. The results of this study indicate that more than 70% are identified as resilient to climate ch ange. Those farms are mostly cultivated with cereal and forage crops, less sensitive to water stress and soil salt accumulation. Inversely, 15% of farms which are dominated by orchards are usually less resilient. Those farms showed an important drop of the ir farm income (30217 DT), due mainly to their incapacity to adjust their cropping system under water stress condition and soil fertility degradation.
Fichier non déposé

Dates et versions

hal-02753177 , version 1 (03-06-2020)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02753177 , version 1
  • PRODINRA : 192726

Citer

Imem Souissi, K. Abbes, Hatem Belhouchette. Quantitative approach to assess farming system resilience to climate change uncertainty. Interdisciplinary Congress ACCAE 2010, Oct 2010, Clermont-Ferrand, France. , 44 p., 2010, Adapting to Climate Change: Agriculture and Ecosystems. ⟨hal-02753177⟩
71 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More