Drought and civil war in Sub-Saharian Africa - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail (Working Paper) Année : 2010

Drought and civil war in Sub-Saharian Africa

Sécheresse et guerre civile en Afrique Sub-Saharienne

Résumé

In this paper, we show that drought has a positive effect on the incidence of civil war over the 1945-2005 period in Sub-Saharan Africa. We use the Palmer Drought Severity Index which is a richer measurement of drought than the measures used in the literature (rainfall and temperature) as it measures the accumulation of water in the soil in taking into account the temperature and the geological characteristics of the soil. We show that the risk of civil war increases by more than 42% from a “normal” climate to an “extremely drought” climate. Surprisingly, only 2.5% of this effect is channeled through economic growth.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
45899_20110825035033208_1.pdf (364.41 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-02817976 , version 1 (06-06-2020)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02817976 , version 1
  • PRODINRA : 45899

Citer

Matthieu Couttenier, Raphael Soubeyran, . Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. Drought and civil war in Sub-Saharian Africa. 2010. ⟨hal-02817976⟩
39 Consultations
107 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More