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Article Dans Une Revue American Journal of Agricultural Economics Année : 2021

Climate Econometrics: Can the Panel Approach Account for Long‐Run Adaptation?

Résumé

The panel approach with fixed effects and nonlinear weather effects has become a popular method to uncover weather impacts on economic outcomes, but its ability to capture long-run climatic adaptation remains unclear. Building upon a framework proposed by McIntosh and Schlenker (2006), this paper identifies empirical conditions under which the nonlinear panel approach can approximate a long-run response to climate. When these conditions fail, the obtained relationship may still be interpretable as a weighted average of underlying short-run and long-run responses. We use this decomposition to revisit recently published climate impact estimates. For spatially large panels, the estimated temperature-outcome relationship mostly reflects the long-run climatic response; this is not so for precipitation. We find some evidence of long-run climatic adaptation for crop yield outcomes in the United States and France.

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Dates et versions

hal-03373435 , version 1 (11-10-2021)

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Citer

Pierre Mérel, Matthew Gammans. Climate Econometrics: Can the Panel Approach Account for Long‐Run Adaptation?. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2021, 103 (4), pp.1207-1238. ⟨10.1111/ajae.12200⟩. ⟨hal-03373435⟩

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