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Journal articles
EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research
Daniela Jacob
1
Juliane Petersen
1
Bastian Eggert
1
Antoinette Alias
2
Ole Bossing Christensen
3
Laurens M. Bouwer
4
Alain Braun
2
Augustin Colette
5
Michel Deque
2
Goran Georgievski
6
Elena Georgopoulou
7
Andreas Gobiet
8, 9
Laurent Menut
10
Grigory Nikulin
11
Andreas Haensler
1
Nils Hempelmann
1
Colins Jones
11
Klaus Keuler
6
Sari Kovats
12
Nico Kroner
13
Sven Kotlarski
13
Arne Kriegsmann
1
Eric Martin
2
Erik van Meijgaard
14
Christopher Moseley
1
Susanne Pfeifer
1
Swantje Preuschmann
1
Christine Radermacher
15
Kai Radtke
6
Diana Rechid
1
Mark Rounsevell
16
Patrick Samuelsson
11
Samuel Somot
2
Jean-François Soussana
17
Claas Teichmann
1
Riccardo Valentini
18
Robert Vautard
19, 20
Bjorn Weber
1
Pascal Yiou
19, 20
13
ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich]
20
ESTIMR - Extrèmes : Statistiques, Impacts et Régionalisation
LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] : DRF/LSCE
Ole Bossing Christensen 3
Author
Laurens M. Bouwer 4
Author
Alain Braun 2
Author
Augustin Colette 5
Author
Michel Deque 2
Author
Goran Georgievski 6
Author
Elena Georgopoulou 7
Author
Andreas Gobiet 8, 9
Author
Laurent Menut 10
Author IdHAL : laurent-menut ORCID : https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9776-0812
Grigory Nikulin 11
Author
Andreas Haensler 1
Author
Nils Hempelmann 1
Author
Christopher Moseley 1
Author
Susanne Pfeifer 1
Author
Swantje Preuschmann 1
Author
Christine Radermacher 15
Author
Samuel Somot 2
Author
Jean-François Soussana 17
Author
Claas Teichmann 1
Author
Riccardo Valentini 18
Author
Robert Vautard 19, 20
Author
Bjorn Weber 1
Author
Pascal Yiou 19, 20
Author IdHAL : pascal-yiou ORCID : https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8534-5355
2
CNRM-GAME - Groupe d'étude de l'atmosphère météorologique (METEO FRANCE CNRM 42 Av Gaspard Coriolis 31057 TOULOUSE CEDEX 1 - France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- Météo France (Direction interrégionale - Sud-Est, 2 boulevard Château Double, Aix-en-Provence - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : URA1357 (France)
3
Danish Climate Centre (Lyngbyvejen 100, 2100 Copenhagen - Denmark)
- DMI - Danish Meteorological Institute (Lyngbyvej 100, 2100 Copenhagen - Denmark)
4
Institute for Environmental Studies (Netherlands)
- VUB - Vrije Universiteit Brussel [Bruxelles] (Boulevard de la Plaine 2, 1050 Ixelles - Belgium)
5
INERIS - Institut National de l'Environnement Industriel et des Risques (Verneuil-en-Halatte ; Nancy ; Aix en Provence - France)
6
BTU - Brandenburg University of Technology [Cottbus – Senftenberg] (Brandenburg University of Technology (BTU) Cottbus-Senftenberg
Postfach 101344
03013 Cottbus - Germany)
8
WEGC - Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change (University of Graz, Universitätsplatz 3, 8010 Graz - Austria)
- University of Graz (Universitätsplatz 3 A - 8010 Graz - Austria)
9
IGAM - Institute for Geophysics, Astrophysics and Meteorology [Graz] (Universitätsplatz 5/II, A-8010 Graz - Austria)
- Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz (Universitätsplatz 3, 8010 Graz - Austria)
10
LMD - Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD ENS 24 Rue Lhomond 75231 Paris Cedex 05 - France)
- Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris (24 rue Lhomond, 75005 Paris, France - France)
- ENS Paris - École normale supérieure - Paris (45, Rue d'Ulm - 75230 Paris cedex 05 - France)
- PSL - Université Paris sciences et lettres (60 rue Mazarine 75006 Paris - France)
- ENS Paris - École normale supérieure - Paris (45, Rue d'Ulm - 75230 Paris cedex 05 - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR8539 (France)
- ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech (École des Ponts ParisTech 6-8 avenue Blaise-Pascal Cité Descartes 77455 Champs-sur-Marne Marne-la-Vallée cedex 2 - France)
- X - École polytechnique (École polytechnique, 91128 Palaiseau Cedex - France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- UPMC - Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (4 place Jussieu - 75005 Paris - France)
11
SMHI - Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SE-601 76 Norrköping - Sweden)
12
LSHTM - London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (Keppel Street
London
WC1E 7HT
- United Kingdom)
13
ETH Zürich - Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (Hauptgebäude, Rämistrasse 101, 8092 Zürich - Switzerland)
14
KNMI - Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (3730 AE De Bilt, The Netherlands - Netherlands)
15
MPI-M - Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (Bundesstraße 53 20146 Hamburg - Germany)
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Jägerstrasse, 10-11, D-10117 Berlin - Germany)
16
School of GeoSciences, Institute of Geography & the Lived Environment (United Kingdom)
- University of Edinburgh (Old College South Bridge Edinburgh EH8 9YL - United Kingdom)
19
LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (Bât. 12,
avenue de la Terrasse,
F-91198 GIF-SUR-YVETTE CEDEX
- France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers : UMR8212 (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- Université Paris-Saclay (Espace Technologique, Bat. Discovery - RD 128 - 2e ét., 91190 Saint-Aubin - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR8212 (France)
- CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives : DRF/LSCE (Centre de Saclay Centre de Grenoble Centre de Cadarache etc - France)
- UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines : UMR8212 (55 avenue de Paris - 78035 Versailles cedex - France)
20
ESTIMR - Extrèmes : Statistiques, Impacts et Régionalisation (
LSCE. CEA Paris-Saclay. Orme des merisiers. 91190 Saint-Aubin. - France)
- LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] : DRF/LSCE (Bât. 12,
avenue de la Terrasse,
F-91198 GIF-SUR-YVETTE CEDEX
- France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers : UMR8212 (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- Université Paris-Saclay (Espace Technologique, Bat. Discovery - RD 128 - 2e ét., 91190 Saint-Aubin - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR8212 (France)
- CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives : DRF/LSCE (Centre de Saclay Centre de Grenoble Centre de Cadarache etc - France)
- UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines : UMR8212 (55 avenue de Paris - 78035 Versailles cedex - France)
Abstract : A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.
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https://hal-ineris.archives-ouvertes.fr/ineris-00963511
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Submitted on : Thursday, July 1, 2021 - 3:38:30 PM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 24, 2021 - 9:54:21 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Saturday, October 2, 2021 - 7:01:58 PM
Contributor : Gestionnaire Civs Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Thursday, July 1, 2021 - 3:38:30 PM
Last modification on : Wednesday, November 24, 2021 - 9:54:21 AM
Long-term archiving on: : Saturday, October 2, 2021 - 7:01:58 PM
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- HAL Id : ineris-00963511, version 1
- DOI : 10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2
- INERIS : EN-2014-003
- PRODINRA : 263825
- WOS : 000333267700011
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Daniela Jacob, Juliane Petersen, Bastian Eggert, Antoinette Alias, Ole Bossing Christensen, et al.. EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research. Regional Environmental Change, Springer Verlag, 2014, 14 (2), pp.563-578. ⟨10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2⟩. ⟨ineris-00963511⟩
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