Assessment of grassland sensitivity to drought in the Massif Central region using remote sensing
Résumé
Drought is a natural phenomenon that is expected to increase in frequency and duration with climate
change, leading to more intense disturbance of ecosystems like grasslands. Moreover, sensitivity of
grasslands to drought is expected to differ across landscapes. To assess and explain such variation in
sensitivity, knowledge drawn from several grasslands and local parameters must be considered. Our
study focused on 143 permanent grasslands in the Massif Central Region of Metropolitan France. With
the use of satellite remote sensing, we quantified the relationship between vegetation index anomalies
and a modified version of the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (mSPEI) to acquire
grassland sensitivity values. These anomalies provide estimates of the historical long-term fluctuations
of grassland vegetation reflectance to climatic water balance between 1985 and 2019. A model selection
procedure was used to determine whether the derived sensitivities can be attributed to explanatory
variables such as vegetation diversity, pedoclimatic conditions, or management practices. Then a variance
partitioning of the included explanatory variables was performed. Our results highlight that soil available
water capacity, time of first use, and plant functional diversity all had key influences on the sensitivity of
grasslands to drought within those parcels selected in the region.