Trade, Storage, and Climate Extremes: Theory and Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2024

Trade, Storage, and Climate Extremes: Theory and Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Résumé

Global warming is associated with increasingly widespread and frequent climate extremes. This paper develops a dynamic stochastic multi-region model of consumption smoothing, storage, and trade to investigate the buffering effect of agricultural markets in the context of climate extremes. The theory provides new insights on the impact of household market transaction costs, borrowing constraints and the spatiotemporal pattern of climate shocks. A large-scale empirical analysis of market access, climate extremes, and food insecurity at quarterly subnational level in Sub-Saharan Africa supports the theoretical predictions. Regions with shorter travel times to cities and ports experience a smaller detrimental impact on food insecurity from severe and extreme dry conditions. Trade and storage appear partly substitutes in buffering the food insecurity impacts of country-wide and multi-year climate extremes.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
TradeStorageClimate_Janssens_WP12Jan2024.pdf (531 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-04497903 , version 1 (11-03-2024)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-04497903 , version 1

Citer

Charlotte Janssens. Trade, Storage, and Climate Extremes: Theory and Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. 2024. ⟨hal-04497903⟩

Collections

INRAE
3 Consultations
12 Téléchargements

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More