Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Année : 2024

Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation

Résumé

Accounting for the variability of hydrological processes and climate conditions between catchments and within catchments remains a challenge in rainfall–runoff modelling. Among the many approaches developed over the past decades, multi-model approaches provide a way to consider the uncertainty linked to the choice of model structure and its parameter estimates. Semi-distributed approaches make it possible to account explicitly for spatial variability while maintaining a limited level of complexity. However, these two approaches have rarely been used together. Such a combination would allow us to take advantage of both methods. The aim of this work is to answer the following question: what is the possible contribution of a multi-model approach within a variable spatial framework compared to lumped single models for streamflow simulation? To this end, a set of 121 catchments with limited anthropogenic influence in France was assembled, with precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and streamflow data at the hourly time step over the period 1998–2018. The semi-distribution set-up was kept simple by considering a single downstream catchment defined by an outlet and one or more upstream sub-catchments. The multi-model approach was implemented with 13 rainfall–runoff model structures, three objective functions, and two spatial frameworks, for a total of 78 distinct modelling options. A simple averaging method was used to combine the various simulated streamflow at the outlet of the catchments and sub-catchments. The lumped model with the highest efficiency score over the whole catchment set was taken as the benchmark for model evaluation. Overall, the semi-distributed multi-model approach yields better performance than the different lumped models considered individually. The gain is mainly brought about by the multi-model set-up, with the spatial framework providing a benefit on a more occasional basis. These results, based on a large catchment set, evince the benefits of using a multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework to simulate streamflow.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
hess-28-1539-2024.pdf (5.38 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine : Fichiers éditeurs autorisés sur une archive ouverte
Licence : CC BY - Paternité

Dates et versions

hal-04532313 , version 1 (04-04-2024)

Licence

Paternité

Identifiants

Citer

Cyril Thébault, Charles Perrin, Vazken Andréassian, Guillaume Thirel, Sébastien Legrand, et al.. Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024, 28 (7), pp.1539-1566. ⟨10.5194/hess-28-1539-2024⟩. ⟨hal-04532313⟩
7 Consultations
0 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More