Mobility decisions, economic dynamics and epidemic - INRAE - Institut national de recherche pour l’agriculture, l’alimentation et l’environnement
Article Dans Une Revue Economic Theory Année : 2024

Mobility decisions, economic dynamics and epidemic

Résumé

We propose a model, which nests a susceptible-infected-recovered-deceased (SIRD) epidemic model into a dynamic macroeconomic equilibrium framework with agents' mobility. The latter affect both their income and their probability of infecting and being infected. Strategic complementarities among individual mobility choices drive the evolution of aggregate economic activity, while infection externalities caused by individual mobility affect disease diffusion. The continuum of rational forward-looking agents coordinates on the Nash equilibrium of a discrete time, finite-state, infinite-horizon Mean Field Game. We prove the existence of an equilibrium and provide a recursive construction method for the search of an equilibrium(a), which also guides our numerical investigations. We calibrate the model by using Italian experience on COVID-19 epidemic and we discuss policy implications.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
FqbbriFiaschiGozziFederico23.pdf (1.54 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-04153998 , version 1 (05-10-2023)

Identifiants

Citer

Giorgio Fabbri, Salvatore Federico, Davide Fiaschi, Fausto Gozzi. Mobility decisions, economic dynamics and epidemic. Economic Theory, 2024, 77 (1-2), pp.495-531. ⟨10.1007/s00199-023-01485-1⟩. ⟨hal-04153998⟩
66 Consultations
30 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More